Quote:
Originally Posted by StyxNCa
How can you say that since caught stealing stats weren't kept consistantly until the 50's? The ones that were kept show league success around 60% or more. There are a few that I see that were around 57%, but I have not found one instance where SB% was 50% or less. I once did figure out that historically the success rate was 63% for all years I could find records for.
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I'm only going on the data that's on baseball reference. Taking some random years that they have stats for, I'm seeing:
1954: ~57% success
1968: ~61%
1983: ~67%
1947 and 1941 also had success percentages less than 60 in the NL (54% and 59% respectively) but had no AL data for CS. I guess > 54% would be defined as close to 60% or more, but it's not until recently that the numbers started to climb above the 2-1 ratio. My larger point was that depending on what year of a database you were using, you could definitely expect to see ratios lower than that.