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Okay, I've gone over the Nationals ML roster in detail. First thing to say is- fantastic job! Most of the ratings are in line with what I'd expect, and I expect the set should play very well, provided the pitching and hitting balance is good. A few Nats'comments (all ratings out of 200):
Levale Speigner:
To get closer to his performance this year, which is all we really have to go on, lower his Stuff to 54, raise Movement to 120; you could leave potential as is.
Matt Chico:
Seems too good a prospect; he isn't all that highly thought of. He's been especially HR-prone this year, so I'd bring his movement potential down to 100 or so.
Saul Rivera has only given up 5 HRs career in over 100 IP. I doubt it will last, but his movement could go up a touch (+10), and his stuff down a few points (-5)- his k-rate isn't quite as good as the ratings suggest.
Jason Bergmann is probably as good as he's going to get now; he was never regarded as a high-potential prospect. I'd bring his potential more in line with his current ratings.
Shawn Hill- seems to constantly be having elbow and shoulder problems; his arm injury proneness should be sky high (it's 0 now).
John Patterson- should also be very injury prone.
Jesus Flores- seems way too ML-ready; he had never played above A-ball before this year, and was considered too raw for the Majors when the rule 5 draft happened (which is why the Mets didn't protect him). He has no power yet (0 HRs this year), though his Eye has been good in a small sample of ABs. I'd lower the Power by at least 70 points, to 40, and raise the Eye from 73 to 95. Potentials could remain the same.
Ryan Zimmerman hasn't proven he can hit for a .305 avg, and he strikes out quite a lot. to get closer to his true performance, i'd lower his avoid ks by 10 points, and his contact by 10 points. His gap power, on the other hand, seems like it should be higher (he hit 47 doubles last year). I'd add 10-15 points there. Potentials could stay largely the same. Finally, on defense, his turn double plays should come way down (if he was that good in real life, he'd be a shortstop)- I'd cut that in half. His range, on the other hand, is far too low; by all accounts it is otherworldly.
Rob Fick- should maybe be even worse at catcher; he's not good there, and for a long time he was only considered by teams as an emergency option;
Dmitri Young- has consistently had fielding PCTs at 1B below .990, and had an .849(!) FPCT the last time he played 3B; for OOTP to produce results that bad, his error rating needs to be awful- like a 10 out of 200;
Tony Batista- should have appalling range; he ranked worst in that category among every MLB fielder in Tangotiger's results;
Cristian Guzman- should be wildly injury prone;
Felipe Lopez- should be a below average fielder; his range is slightly below avg, but he should be particularly bad in error rating (his fielding PCT is around .950);
Ryan Langerhans- doesn't have that much power. I'd lower him to 80/100 vsL/vsR; I'd bring his contact down 10 points as well (he's a .240 career hitter). On the other hand, he is an elite defender, with a decent arm and outstanding range. I'd raise his arm to 115, and his range to 155, at least.
It's slightly tricky to suggest fielding ratings, because I don't know where you've baselined- the average error or range rating for a 1B should surely be much lower than the average for a SS. If you know the averages by position, I can give more accurate suggestions for changes. [EDIT- never mind, I can figure this out easily enough.]
Great stuff, in any case!
Last edited by injury log : 06-28-2007 at 12:20 PM.
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