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injury log · 08-05-2007, 07:52 AM

This may sound like an 'Improve the AI!' suggestion, but here goes:

Suggestion

Improve AI player evaluation, particularly of younger players, and make AI GMs give much greater consideration to long-term implications of roster decisions:

-the AI should take greater account of Potential ratings, and AI GMs should be very reluctant to waive or release a young player with high Potential, regardless of current ratings;
-AI GMs should consider both short-term and long-term consequences of roster decisions (trades, waiver moves, etc)- the AI seems too focused on the short-term;
-a simplified version of MORP could perhaps be incorporated into AI decisionmaking, as a way for AI GMs to judge the long-term value of prospects (versus the more expensive established players).

Reason

Even with player evaluation set to 'Heavily Favor Prospects', AI GM's don't seem to value prospects nearly as highly as real-life teams. With trading set to 'Hard', I can always trade a good upcoming free agent at the trade deadline for a top prospect, even when the players have similar Overall ratings. The game doesn't seem to value the six cheap years a MLB-ready prospect can give a team, as opposed to the three month rental the impending free agent will provide, and instead seems to focus on the small difference in their current ratings. So the AI seems focused on the short-term. If MORP (or something similar) were incorporated into AI decisionmaking, AI teams would be better able to make decisions that reflect the long-range forecasting of real-life GMs.

Many of us have also seen AI teams draft a monster prospect in the inaugural draft who isn't ML-ready; the AI then invariably waives the player because he isn't soon going to play in the Majors. To me, this would be similar to the Devil Rays waiving Delmon Young (who was signed to a Major League contract) the year after he was drafted, clearly absurd. In this case, the AI team again seems focused on the short-term- the small value an extra 40-man roster spot could provide for the current season- and not the long term value of the prospect.

Priority

Very high.

08-05-2007, 07:52 AM	#12 (permalink)
injury log Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: London Posts: 2,243	This may sound like an 'Improve the AI!' suggestion, but here goes: Suggestion Improve AI player evaluation, particularly of younger players, and make AI GMs give much greater consideration to long-term implications of roster decisions: -the AI should take greater account of Potential ratings, and AI GMs should be very reluctant to waive or release a young player with high Potential, regardless of current ratings; -AI GMs should consider both short-term and long-term consequences of roster decisions (trades, waiver moves, etc)- the AI seems too focused on the short-term; -a simplified version of MORP could perhaps be incorporated into AI decisionmaking, as a way for AI GMs to judge the long-term value of prospects (versus the more expensive established players). Reason Even with player evaluation set to 'Heavily Favor Prospects', AI GM's don't seem to value prospects nearly as highly as real-life teams. With trading set to 'Hard', I can always trade a good upcoming free agent at the trade deadline for a top prospect, even when the players have similar Overall ratings. The game doesn't seem to value the six cheap years a MLB-ready prospect can give a team, as opposed to the three month rental the impending free agent will provide, and instead seems to focus on the small difference in their current ratings. So the AI seems focused on the short-term. If MORP (or something similar) were incorporated into AI decisionmaking, AI teams would be better able to make decisions that reflect the long-range forecasting of real-life GMs. Many of us have also seen AI teams draft a monster prospect in the inaugural draft who isn't ML-ready; the AI then invariably waives the player because he isn't soon going to play in the Majors. To me, this would be similar to the Devil Rays waiving Delmon Young (who was signed to a Major League contract) the year after he was drafted, clearly absurd. In this case, the AI team again seems focused on the short-term- the small value an extra 40-man roster spot could provide for the current season- and not the long term value of the prospect. Priority Very high.