Quote:
Originally Posted by Le Grande Orange
But consider the playoffs are short affairs, likely either best-of-5 or best-of-7 depending on the series length you are using. The aggregate won-loss record and team and player statistics don't mean much when you're talking about series that involve no more than 5 or 7 games. It only takes 3 or 4 mediocre performances and you've lost the series.
Take a look at your team from during the regular season. Pick at random a stretch of 5 or 7 consecutive games then take a look at the individual and team numbers. Is there still the same domination in performance that you see in the number from the whole at the end of the season, or do you see more variance?
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I think if you look at the Red Sox this season, they've got a 90-61 record so far but the longest winning streak is 5 and the longest losing streak is 5, so the good record doesn't necessarily mean you get the right 3 results out of 5 or 4 out of 7.