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Old 04-13-2008, 08:57 PM   #5 (permalink)
RonCo
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 5,477
Quote:
Originally Posted by FamundaCheese View Post
For the life of me I can't seem to build a staff (startes and relievers) who can function as a unit atleast at a replacement level or above.

My league has the following:

1. Scouts off
2. Coaches off
3. Self imposed salary cap of 45 mil
4. Potential ratings on, all other ratings off

It seems that no matter their potentia, no matter what the minor league report says, no matter their minor league or previous major league stats say, and no matter how many teams want to trade for them, I just can not get my pitchers to produce at a level beyong Jim Bullinger and Mike Harkey.

Any suggestions?
Minor league stats are very useful if you understand their context--consider performance against league average rather than performance based on number you're used to. A 3.30 ERA is not so good if the league ERA is 2.85, for example. Of course, ERA is not so good for the projections. The important things to pay attention to are the DIPs stats--K/PA, BB/PA, HR/PA...k/bb ratio, etc. It's difficult for bullpen guys since their sample size is very small.

Pay attention to BABIP. An OOTP pitcher has a little more control over BABIP than a real pitcher, but not much. A guy with a high BABIP is being a bit unlucky and may be considered likely to do better in the future. a guy with a low BABIP against may be thought to have been lucky (or just played behind a great defense).

Sample size is important, of course. Most humans don't understand how wide of a variance a player can really have by pure random chance alone.
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