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I tend to think that people get caught up on the word talent and its definition. I think "potential" is a better word for OOTP. Your potential can go up and down plenty. It is partly based on talent, partly on learned skills, etc. It's a more useful measure than pure talent.
I definitely do not think that a player's potential should be something that is set in stone barring injury or known reasons. I think a guy's potential should be able to go up or down based on a variety of factors too numerous to have the game worrying about, from learning new stances or pitches to losing one's confidence and so on. I think a low potential guy should be able to have something click for him - who knows what - and have that raise his potential.
That makes sense to me, and it makes the game less predicatable.
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