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Old 04-20-2008, 05:11 PM   #70 (permalink)
fhomess
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Join Date: Nov 2002
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Sorry, I was in Uganda for all of March and haven't been by these forums much since I got back.

Quote:
Originally Posted by snnort View Post
Getch... I asked something like this on our league forum (OTM) but thought I'd put it in simpler terms and for more to see (since it may take a group effort to figure)...

My question is, on the next patch of OOTPOU how hard would it be to input the so-called Smyth/Patriot method (aka Pythagenpat ) of X=((rs+ra)/g)^.285 into the "Pythagorean Exponent" field in OOTPOU for the Playoff Odds Report?
It's not too hard to add in since the pieces are all there. I'll work on a patch that would allow you to use this formula, too. If it's not out in a week, shoot me a PM to remind me.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Getch View Post
I didn't do that particular utility, but I'm sure it wouldn't be hard. Is that a better formula? I notice that the playoff odds report is way off early in the season.
I suppose you can say it's way off in the same sense that a slap hitting infielder with 2 HR's in the first week of the season isn't likely to hit 60 on the year, even though a linear projection would have him there. Changing the exponent isn't going to remove the impact of early season trends. That's only going to go away with more time and teams regressing to their mean.
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