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Old 04-27-2008, 05:50 PM   #285 (permalink)
jamus23
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2083 Divisional Round Preview: Tucson vs. Miami

The Tucson Diamondbacks (90-72)


VS.

The Miami Dolphins (104-58)



Quick Facts:

-These two teams met in the Division Round last year, with Miami winning in seven games.

-This is Tucson's fourth straight postseason appearance. They last reached the World Series in 2080, but have not won since 2038. They have been to the World Series five times since winning in 2038.

-The defending champion Miami Dolphins extended their own league record for consecutive playoff appearances to 39 this season. This is also their 11th straight division title.

-Miami won the World Series last year, beating San Diego in six games.

-Miami won 9 of 15 meetings against Tucson this season. The average score was 5.3 to 4.6

-Tucson scored the fifth most runs in baseball this year. The Diamondbacks don't hit many homeruns(they ranked just 20th) but they get a lot of hits(3rd in AVG) and walks(4th). Their .361 OBP ranked fourth in all of baseball. Tucson's pitching staff allowed the 10th fewest runs, and sported the 11th best ERA.

-Miami scored the second most runs in baseball, which is all the more impressive given that they play in one of the more hitter-unfriendly ballparks in the entire league. It is a pretty balanced offense that the Dolphins have, as well. They were 4th in batting average, 5th in on base percentage, and 3rd in slugging percentage. They hit the fourth most doubles, the fifth most homeruns, and drew the seventh most walks. The only thing the Dolphins don't do well is steal bases, ranking last in all of baseball in stolen bases by a wide margin. Miami's pitching staff allowed the fifth fewest runs, and had the 4th best ERA.


Batting and Pitching stats for Tucson and Miami:

Tucson Batting:

Code:
Name           POS   G  AB   H 2B 3B HR RBI   R  BB   K  AVG  OBP  SLG SB CS
R. Billips      RF 158 583 151 43 10 30 112 127  80  94 .259 .349 .521 29 15
R. Vega         3B 152 557 139 23  1 33 113  97 106 141 .250 .367 .472 11  3
E. Giancola     2B 155 552 143 18  3 23  95  88  74 112 .259 .349 .428 13  0
T. Stallman     1B 143 521 146 28  2 25 103  92  94 100 .280 .396 .486  0  3
J. Osborn        C 143 494 144 24  2 11  69  82  92 133 .291 .404 .415  0  0
J. Constantino  LF 127 480 156 24  5  6  64  75  39  63 .325 .377 .433 18  4
S. Riva         SS 154 453 120 21  3  2  57  71  69 119 .265 .362 .338 39 15
D. Guzman       2B 117 437 148 22  3 14  67  63  22  57 .339 .365 .499  8  5
C. Diemer        C 120 313 106 24  0  4  66  41  17  24 .339 .376 .454  0  1
J. Ruelas       CF 110 283  72 18  0 16  57  39  15  70 .254 .293 .488  1  2
C. Troutt       3B  91 257  59 24  1  6  34  36  33  65 .230 .314 .401  0  1
E. Lafferty     LF  79 181  51  9  3  2  20  36  10  22 .282 .328 .398  6  4
L. Hawn         SS  50  67  14  4  1  0   4   9   8  22 .209 .293 .299  1  0
R. Takanori     LF  17  30   7  3  0  0   1   7   2   3 .233 .273 .333  1  0
J. Evans        2B  37  24   6  1  0  1   5  13   2   8 .250 .308 .417  6  0
O. Santos       RF   6   9   3  0  1  0   1   1   0   0 .333 .333 .556  0  0
F. Shimizu      3B   2   1   0  0  0  0   0   0   0   0 .000 .000 .000  0  0

Tucson pitching:

Code:
Name           G GS  W  L SV   ERA    IP  HA   R  ER BB   K CG SH
P. Boughner   34 34 15 11  0  4.83 261.0 312 146 140 46 109 12  1
W. Bergan     34 34 15 10  0  3.43 238.2 223 104  91 77 168  2  1
P. Reyes      34 34 14 11  0  5.22 234.2 253 149 136 88 238  8  2
W. Braun      32 32 13  8  0  4.68 219.0 209 118 114 78 144  3  1
K. Landon     26 25  7 12  0  5.60 154.1 159 114  96 88 132  2  1
B. Schrupp    34  2  2  3  0  6.09  75.1 107  56  51 35  47  0  0
O. Yother     63  0  8  5 39  2.88  68.2  67  26  22 20  73  0  0
R. Ugarte     23  0  1  3  0  4.40  45.0  34  23  22 33  33  0  0
B. Johnson    33  0  2  2  0  3.79  35.2  26  18  15  1  10  0  0
W. Winningham 44  0  3  2  0  4.84  35.1  31  19  19 14  25  0  0
B. Guertin     7  1  1  1  0 12.41  12.1  18  18  17  5   6  0  0
P. Padilla     8  0  2  0  0  9.82   7.1  12   8   8  5   2  0  0
A. Melendez    1  0  0  0  0 21.61   1.2   6   4   4  0   0  0  0
N. Parrino     1  0  0  0  0  9.00   1.0   2   1   1  1   0  0  0


Miami batting:

Code:
Name           POS   G  AB   H 2B 3B HR RBI   R BB   K  AVG  OBP  SLG SB CS
R. Springs      CF 149 609 185 27  6 36 132 119 49  75 .304 .361 .545  0  1
A. Shorts       1B 138 570 159 53  1 16  84 108 79  41 .279 .364 .460  1  0
T. Fuentes Jr.  3B 145 550 159 32  1 28 122  97 64  88 .289 .368 .504  0  4
B. Tovar        SS 141 519 139 22  3  8  69  62 34  40 .268 .316 .368  1  0
F. Alvarez      2B 138 503 115 14  4 15  57  64 30 127 .229 .275 .362  6  0
E. Mcgurk        C 131 473 123 18  9 41 109 127 90  72 .260 .376 .596  0  2
J. Foss          C 117 453 142 38  0 27  96 105 66  73 .313 .398 .576  1  0
A. Chichester   RF 113 443 151 44  4 15  95  88 35  56 .341 .403 .560  1  3
D. Fernandez    LF 120 431 107 48  5 19  87  80 74  34 .248 .356 .515  0  5
B. Reid         LF  95 329  93 14  3 14  71  45 22  51 .283 .324 .471  1  0
D. Armas        RF  85 294  88 15  0  6  22  47 45  36 .299 .395 .412  1  0
T. Alder        1B  56 207  69 13  2  5  29  32  6  13 .333 .349 .488  0  0
L. Twigg        CF  74 189  52 14  3  1  19  28 19  28 .275 .352 .397 18  2
F. Elliott      3B  56 146  40  6  1  1  13  24 21  36 .274 .365 .349  1  0
C. Cortes       SS  40 119  22 11  0  0  11  12 13  12 .185 .274 .277  4  3
G. Esqueda       C  25  82  18  4  0  1   8  12  6  11 .220 .270 .305  0  0
W. Mcalpine     LF  28  64  15  5  1  0   9  13  6  15 .234 .296 .344  3  1
D. Bahena       3B  12  42   9  2  0  0   3   5  4   7 .214 .277 .262  0  0
R. Tejada       1B  19  31   8  4  0  2   9   8  8   2 .258 .400 .581  0  0
D. Roque         C   9  27   8  2  1  0   1   5  2   2 .296 .345 .444  0  0
J. Zabala       LF  11  26   8  3  0  0   1   5  0   8 .308 .308 .423  0  0
E. Abadia       RF   7  21   3  1  0  1   3   2  5   6 .143 .296 .333  0  0
E. Lasa         RF   2   5   1  0  0  0   0   0  0   1 .200 .200 .200  0  0


Miami pitching:


Code:
Name          G GS  W  L SV   ERA    IP  HA   R ER  BB   K CG SH
C. Hokusai   33 32 20  6  0  3.05 227.1 179  78 77  41 197  4  1
J. Caceres   33 33 19  5  0  3.76 222.1 166 100 93 119 154  3  3
R. Baston    29 27 19  7  0  3.81 205.1 205  98 87  71 175  7  1
J. Brashears 25 25 10 12  0  4.93 173.1 183 103 95  73  87  5  3
M. Prior     26 25 12  6  0  4.17 172.2 186  90 80  60 154  1  1
J. Miller    13 13  5  6  0  7.32  78.2 104  70 64  24  41  2  0
S. Fierros   43  0  8  4 13  3.91  73.2  83  38 32  18  71  0  0
E. Morris    30  0  3  4  1  4.02  53.2  51  32 24  23  30  0  0
G. Carolan   31  0  2  0  1  4.66  48.1  57  32 25  11  21  0  0
J. Carpenter 39  0  1  1  5  2.85  47.1  37  17 15   4  36  0  0
J. Seder     30  0  3  1  4  5.56  34.0  45  31 21   7  25  0  0
C. Lain      28  0  0  1 19  3.20  25.1  14   9  9  11  23  0  0
J. Strahan   17  0  0  0  0  5.70  23.2  30  15 15   6  16  0  0
K. Hinkle     3  3  1  2  0  4.74  19.0  17  13 10   8  11  0  0
A. Ibaņez     6  2  0  2  1 17.00  18.0  49  34 34   6  15  0  0
J. Bohorquez  3  2  0  0  0  4.91   7.1   6   4  4   4   4  0  0
D. Hasson     4  0  1  0  0  9.95   6.1  13   9  7   2   2  0  0
C. Speakman   4  0  0  0  0  9.00   6.0   8   7  6   2   6  0  0
E. Salcedo    3  0  0  0  0  2.25   4.0   3   1  1   2   3  0  0
J. Matthews   2  0  0  1  0 13.50   4.0   8   6  6   1   2  0  0



Thoughts:

In some ways, this series is a reversal from last year's matchup. Last year, Tucson came in as a balanced team, able to score a lot of runs while also getting great pitching, while Miami came in with a tremendous pitching staff but a lackluster offense. This year, however, Tucson, while still having a good offense, has seen its pitching diminish, largely due to the losses of Scott Council and Cleveland Lauria to free agency, and a poor season by Paul Reyes. Miami, on the other hand, enjoyed bounce back years from guys like Thomas Fuentes, Jr. and Dennis Fernandez, while also getting breakout years from Edmond McGurk and Albert Chichester. That kick-started the Dolphins' offense into becoming the second highest scoring team in the league. As for Miami's pitching, while guys like Jim Miller and Joseph Brashears showed their age, the emergence of Ramon Baston picked up the slack and kept the Dolphins' pitching staff among the best in the league.

As it is, these are two very good teams. Like last year, this one could easily go to seven games. Miami seems like they might be just a little bit deeper.

Prediction: The Dolphins in seven games.
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