The Miami Dolphins (104-58)
VS.
The Pittsburgh Pirates (100-62)
History:
The year was 2036. The Pittsburgh Pirates had just won their fourth straight World Series, a five game defeat of the Nashville Predators. It was the final championship of what would soon be dubbed "the second Pittsburgh dynasty." At that point in time, the Pittsburgh Pirates were unquestionably the premiere team in baseball. In the 34 seasons that the league had been in operation, the Pirates had won 15 championships. The next most belonged to Grand Rapids, with a total of 5. Clearly, there were no teams that challenged Pittsburgh's supremacy.
Just a few years before, however, the league had decided to expand. Four cities were granted franchises that would begin play in 2038. One of those cities was Miami. While the Dolphins' first forays were rather embarassing- they would post the worst record by any team in league history in their initial season, a few building blocks were installed: A young catcher by the name of Dennis Gillespie would be picked up in a trade and a starting pitcher by the name of Albert Casey was selected in the third round of the amateur draft. Though Casey was not yet ready to contribute at the big league level, he would be in a few years. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh returned to the World Series after an absence of one year, but the Pirates were handled with ease by the Tucson Diamondbacks.
In 2039, Miami continued to add pieces. Gillespie was moved to third base to make room for Axel Perez, who leaped straight into the big leagues after being taken with number one overall pick in the amateur draft. A pair of offseason trades netted Miami an established right-fielder, Genaro Aybar, plus a young left-fielder, William Harrold, who was ready to make his mark in the big leagues, and a first base prospect by the name of Joshua Farr. Miami continued to struggle, however, and lost over 100 games again. The Pirates, on the other hand, rolled to a World Series victory, dismantling Kansas City in four games.
2040 saw the acquisition of another puzzle piece for Miami, when the Dolphins signed a 26 year old starting pitcher named Robert Padgett as a free agent. It also saw a sudden upturn in Miami's fortunes. The Dolphins improved their record by 30 games, and finished in second place in the Southeast with a surprising 91 victories. Pittsburgh was overpowered by the eventual champions, Sacramento, in the NLCS.
There was a strange shift in the balance of power in the American League in 2041. All five Southeast teams, including Miami, produced winning records, with two, Knoxville and Washington, topping 100 victories. At the same time, all five Central Division teams finished under .500, with two, Memphis and Denver, producing 100 defeats. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the optimism caused by the previous season was tempered, as they finished in last place despite their 83 wins. Pittsburgh, powered by a season for the ages from John Rockwood, reached the World Series and stomped Knoxville in four games.
Entering the 2042 season, then, the Pittsburgh Pirates had won 17 championships. No other team had won more than 5. The American League that year returned to a more competitive state. No team won 100. No team lost 100. Only one team even reached 90 wins, while only one team lost as many as 90 games. The team that reached 90 wins was the Miami Dolphins, who captured the Southeast Division title with a 93-69 record. The Dolphins whipped Kansas City in the ALCS to reach the World Series. They would not be facing Pittsburgh, however. Instead, they would face the Hector Soriano-led Portland Trailblazers. In a tight series, the Dolphins prevailed, winning in six games. It would be the first championship in Miami's quest to unseat Pittsburgh as baseball's king.
In '43, Miami and Portland engaged in a rematch, with Portland emerging victorious. In '44, Portland reached its third straight World Series, but the Trailblazers lost to Nashville. Miami had lost the division by the 3 games to Nashville.
Pittsburgh and Miami would go head to head for the first time in 2045. The Dolphins won. Thus began a series of battles that would rage constantly for about the next 15 years. Though both would sometimes reach the series in years when the other did not, and sometimes neither would reach the series, the multiple clashes between them captured the imagination of a generation of baseball fans.
They met for a second time in 2048. The Dolphins won again. In 2051, both teams swept aside their opponents in the League Championship Series and dueled for a third time. For a third time, the Dolphins were victors. In 2053, Miami made it four for four over the Pirates. It was not until 2054 that Pittsburgh managed to beat Miami in the World Series. Then, in the three year run of championships from 2057 to 2059 that became known as "the third Pittsburgh dynasty", the Pirates picked up two more wins against Miami, in '57 and '59. That run was brought to a halt in 2060 by none other than the Dolphins. In 2063, Miami crushed Pittsburgh in a four game sweep. For awhile, that brought the epic clashes to an end. It would be 11 years before Pittsburgh reached another World Series, while Miami had its own difficulties in reaching the World Series. The Dolphins won the '65 series, but didn't reach again until 2073, when they lost to San Diego.
In 2074, however, both Pittsburgh and Miami returned to the World Series. The Pirates won. They met up again in 2081, and again, the Pirates won.
-Note: Dennis Gillespie, Axel Perez, Joshua Farr, and Robert Padgett were all future Hall of Famers. Albert Casey is possibly a borderline HoF'er. He won 215 games, had a 3.63 ERA, went to 4 All Star games, won 2 Cy Young Awards, threw a perfect game and another no-hitter, and won 3 World Series while with Miami . Genaro Aybar was a solid regular for a few years, with an .863 career OPS, one All Star appearance, 5 20-HR seasons, and won 2 World Series while with Miami. William Harrold was a 3-time All Star, had an .846 career OPS, hit .303 with 331 career homeruns, and won 2 World Series while with Miami.
Fun Facts:
-In the 41 years since Pittsburgh won its 17th championship in 2041, the Pirates have won 9 World Series. The Dolphins have won 12. San Jose has the third most in that time period, with 5.
-In the 38 years since Pittsburgh and Miami first met each other in the World Series, the two have faced each other 11 times. Miami has won 6, Pittsburgh has won 5.
-In those 11 meetings, there has been only one sweep(Miami, 2063) and only one seven game series(Miami, 2051).
-The World Series winners from 2079 to the present have been Miami, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Miami. This year will obviously not change that trend, regardless of who wins.
-Veteran Miami starting pitcher
Jim Miller was a 22 year old for the Dolphins' single A minor league team when the Dolphins last beat Pittsburgh in the World Series(2063).
-18 Pirates remain from the 2081 World Series meeting with Miami, while 17 Dolphins remain.
Postseason Stats:
Pittsburgh:
Strong performers at the plate this postseason include: Reserve outfielder
Matias Santos(1.060 OPS in 19 at bats, with 7 RBI), left-fielder
Jerry Harmer, Jr.(.842 OPS, 10 runs scored), 1B
Jose Arruza(.903 OPS, 2 HR), second-baseman Robert Able(.879 OPS, 3 HR), and catcher
Aaron Quijada(.884 OPS, 3 HR). On the mound,
Scott Council is 3-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 29 K's in 29 innings pitcher, and
Andreas Fajardo is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA.
So-so performers include: third-baseman
Javier Rael(.190 AVG and .707 OPS, but 5 HR and 11 RBI) and right-fielder
James Sequeira(.668 OPS, but 2 HR). On the mound,
Jay Marrone is 1-0 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 starts.
Poor performers include: short-stop
Dean White(.516 OPS) and center-fielder
Tony Francois(.427 OPS). On the mound,
Douglas Malone is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA.
Miami:
Those performing well at the plate this postseason include: first-baseman
Aaron Shorts(.919 OPS and 10 doubles), catcher
Jake Foss(.808 OPS and 4 extra base hits), second-baseman
Francisco Alvarez(.814 OPS and 2 HR), and left-fielder
Dennis Fernandez(.922 OPS, 5 doubles, and 3 HR). On the mound,
Christian Hokusai is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA,
Ramon Baston is 1-1 with a 1.73 ERA, and
Jose Caceres is 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA.
So-so performers include: short-stop
Bill Tovar(.306 average but only 1 extra base hit and only a .627 OPS), designated hitter
Edmond McGurk(3 HR but only a .229 AVG and .726 OPS).
Poor performers include: third-baseman
Thomas Fuentes, Jr.(.615 OPS), center-fielder
Roy Springs(.526 OPS), and right-fielder
Albert Chichester(.456 OPS). On the mound,
Mark Prior is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA
Thoughts:
This is a pretty balanced matchup. Both teams can score runs, both teams have good pitching. Miami's rotation is a little bit deeper, while Pittsburgh has the superior bullpen. Pittsburgh's offense is driven heavily by its ability to draw walks and wear down opposing pitchers, while the Dolphins are little bit more balanced between hitting homeruns and drawing walks.
The first item to consider is the designated hitter. Miami will lose one of its hitters when they come to Pittsburgh. Who will it be? Generally,
Edmond McGurk has been used as the DH, though he usually replaces the left-handed hitting
Jake Foss at catcher when Miami faces a southpaw. Despite his postseason struggles,
McGurk is not a guy you want to take out of the lineup, which means the Dolphins may have to stick him at first base, left field, or right field. Either way, Miami will lose a key contributor from the starting lineup, while probably getting worse defensively.
The second item is the difference in ballparks. Miami plays in a very good pitcher's park, while Pittsburgh plays in a neutral/slightly favorable hitter's park. Miami's park is especially difficult to left-handed hitters, which is bad news for guys like
James Sequeira and
Tony Francois on Pittsburgh's side. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's park is a nice place to hit if you are a lefty. That's good news for
Jake Foss, and maybe bench guys like
Daniel Armas and
Troy Alder on the Dolphins.
A third consideration is how well Miami's
Jose Caceres matches up against the Pirates. To be honest, he is not a good matchup. The Pirates are the best team in baseball at drawing walks, and if
Caceres has any weakness, it is his lack of control.
There is one other thing to think about. I have referred to the "first Pittsburgh dynasty," the "second Pittsburgh dynasty," and the "third Pittsburgh dynasty." If Pittsburgh wins this World Series, it would be their third in the last four seasons, and fifth in the last ten seasons. Are we in the midst of the "fourth Pittsburgh dynasty"?
Prediction:
As I said, the two teams are pretty even. If Pittsburgh's propensity for working counts can get Miami's starters out of the games early, the Pirates should be able to work over the Dolphins' bullpen pretty well. Losing the DH also will hurt Miami quite a bit, I think. Still, the Dolphins rotation looks a lot better than Pittsburgh's.
I'll go with
Miami in seven games.