Quote:
Originally Posted by waltwa
I haven't seen in my numerous solo and online leagues great drop offs on my SP's. However i do recall reading an article by Bill James a few years ago that dealt with pitchers who threw a lot of innings in the Bigs and were under the age of 25. Almost every one of them fell on hard times sooner than expected.
I don't know if the game is set up in this way but at least it was noted by James a few years ago. Being a SF Giants fan i am holding my breath on both Lincecum and Cain - IN REAL LIFE.
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i also recall James discussing power vs finesse pitchers in this respect. Finesse, or non-power pitchers would often have a shorter career than power pitchers (as defined by the W-K ratio). Greg Hibbard is a good example. Had 5 solid season with around 55 W and 80-90 K a season and just totally dropped off at 29 yo (his last year in the majors). I think he also predicted that if Mark Fydrich had not blown out his shoulder, he likely would have had a similar career path (53 B, 97 K his rookie year).
im just not sure if OOTP takes this into account though, it'd be interesting to see...