Quote:
Originally Posted by Left-handed Badger
1/3 is a bit much. Even the worst closers usually dont blow more than 6-8 saves a year. (or else they become a MR very quickly.) I'd say 20% should be absolute max for a regular closer. ANd really not over 15%.
Remember those 3.00+ ERAs. They come into a game for inning with as much as a 3-run leeway. Even an ERA of 4.50 means you only give up a run every 2 innings. Which would theoretically average to one run every 2 appearances.
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So if you have a one run lead, as opposed to two or three, it's not that unusual to cough it up. As I said, the only way to really tell would be with league-wide stats. But with 15 games a day, you're likely to see blown saves more days than not.