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Old 06-09-2008, 08:56 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swampdragon View Post
Face gives up a three run shot in the 9th inning of the opener to blow a save, and his ERA goes to 27.00. It will take 8 perfect innings to get back to 3.00, and in real life he likely won't get there until June, even if he pitches consistently well. If 8 out of 10 converted saves is OK, and 6.5 out of 10 indicates a problem, you need a huge sample size of save opportunities before you can safely say there's a problem. Second, OOTP has no clutch rating. It doesn't know Lee Smith from Joe Borowski. Accordingly, any ability a pitcher may have to bear down with men on base and get the results he needs is not accounted for beyond raw statistics.
swampdragon,

The way Face is going, he won't get his ERA down till next spring training.

By the way, I'm not using any non-stat-based features of SOM. I want the results to determine who's clutch, not artificial sweeteners, so the OOTP engine will be fine for me.

Thanks for the deeper explanation.

Geoff
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