OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Proposed Fictional League Dev/Aging Modifiers

SkyDog · 06-29-2008, 06:34 AM

I ran an overnight sim using these, combined with my stats modifiers. Things look pretty good on a global level. Players are peaking at a better time, and fewer guys are playing into their 40s, but some are. However, on a player-by-player basis, there's a pretty major issue with pitchers getting very low strikeout totals as they get later in their careers. I'm talking 200+ IP with less than 50 strikeouts in a season. I'm looking at one player card right now. This guy had 12 straights seasons of 200+ Ks from age 24 to 35, but as he got older...

AGE 34: 254.1 IP, 284 Ks
AGE 35: 257.2 IP, 253 Ks
AGE 36: 213.1 IP, 158 Ks
AGE 37: 259.2 IP, 134 Ks
AGE 38: 234.1 IP, 80 Ks
AGE 39: 261 IP, 45 Ks
AGE 40: 229.1 IP, 48 Ks
AGE 41: 134.2 IP, 20 Ks
AGE 42: 212 IP, 20 Ks
AGE 43: 188.2 IP, 21 Ks

This is by no means isolated, It's happening for most. I'm having a very hard time finding a pitcher 39 or up with even 120 Ks. The best I've found so far is a guy who threw 215.2 IP with 90 Ks. This guy had 300 Ks six times in his 20s and early 30s, and even had 280-260 at ages 35 and 36. It's a very harsh dropoff. Incidentally, the latter guy was effective with those 90 Ks: 17-8, 4.05. It wouldn't be a big deal if these guys were just dropping off to being crappy players, but they're pitching rather effectively for several seasons with these very low strikeout totals.

It may be that we're dealing with a "pick your poison" issue here.

06-29-2008, 06:34 AM	#5 (permalink)
SkyDog Front Office Football Central Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Souf Cackilacky Posts: 1,500	I ran an overnight sim using these, combined with my stats modifiers. Things look pretty good on a global level. Players are peaking at a better time, and fewer guys are playing into their 40s, but some are. However, on a player-by-player basis, there's a pretty major issue with pitchers getting very low strikeout totals as they get later in their careers. I'm talking 200+ IP with less than 50 strikeouts in a season. I'm looking at one player card right now. This guy had 12 straights seasons of 200+ Ks from age 24 to 35, but as he got older... AGE 34: 254.1 IP, 284 Ks AGE 35: 257.2 IP, 253 Ks AGE 36: 213.1 IP, 158 Ks AGE 37: 259.2 IP, 134 Ks AGE 38: 234.1 IP, 80 Ks AGE 39: 261 IP, 45 Ks AGE 40: 229.1 IP, 48 Ks AGE 41: 134.2 IP, 20 Ks AGE 42: 212 IP, 20 Ks AGE 43: 188.2 IP, 21 Ks This is by no means isolated, It's happening for most. I'm having a very hard time finding a pitcher 39 or up with even 120 Ks. The best I've found so far is a guy who threw 215.2 IP with 90 Ks. This guy had 300 Ks six times in his 20s and early 30s, and even had 280-260 at ages 35 and 36. It's a very harsh dropoff. Incidentally, the latter guy was effective with those 90 Ks: 17-8, 4.05. It wouldn't be a big deal if these guys were just dropping off to being crappy players, but they're pitching rather effectively for several seasons with these very low strikeout totals. It may be that we're dealing with a "pick your poison" issue here. __________________ "I suspect Markus is more like Yoda, without the wisdom"---An unnamed member of the FOBL. Last edited by SkyDog; 06-29-2008 at 06:35 AM.