[Neags23]

Originally Posted by RonCo

I can't find many pitchers who actually survive well into their 40s in my baseline leaue, either. So, if you wanted to BZ MArkus and have him tone down the Stuff falloff at age 38, that would probably be good.

RonCo, I haven't had a chance to thumb through your report, but this statement made me go find my results.

This is something I posted in the beta forums regarding K's for pitchers. It's the same methodology Tango uses with adjacent pitching years (1 being the peak year). The only difference we have here is that for OOTP, I only used pitchers with greater than 60 IP (and I use the stuff rating while Tango uses the real thing). The n variable is the number of players tested over a 100 year test league (first 20 years being skipped).

From all of my findings based on Tango tests, the stuff falloff (league-wide, of course... I'm sure outliers abound) is actually not steep enough.

Those tests do, obviously, stop at age 40, but if you use Tango as a baseline, from about age 31, stuff ratings don't fall fast enough (but aren't too bad).

Not saying I'm right and you're wrong, I'm just curious as to why we may have opposite results.