Quote:
Originally Posted by Neags23
I forget why we dropped the guys with less than 60 IP. Injury Log's suggestion and guidance led me to do so. I'm sure there was a good reason, even if I can't remember (the beta process really takes a toll on your brain).
What baseline are you using for comparisons that show stuff is falling too fast?
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My expected baseline is Tango's--same as yours.
Then for each test league I create a ratings chain for each player in each ability. Then I average those chains for all major leaguers and for all players in the universe. I've presented those two groups. I tried to describe that in my paper, though I probably screwed it up somewhere.
I'm finding it hard to get many HoF pitchers, BTW. And when I pull up the stats page in game of pitchers with long careers, I don't generally need to have the ages next to the stats line to determine when the pitcher turned 38. So everything I see in every league I run says that pitcher's K-rates fall off too hard after age 38.