View Single Post
Old 08-25-2008, 07:44 AM   #24 (permalink)
RonCo
Hall Of Famer
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 6,566
Thanked 147x in 66 posts
Quote:
Originally Posted by OldFatGuy View Post
That still doesn't answer whether A particular outcome is derived totally random based off of those odds, or whether something else is calculated at some point in the process too. Some sort of mathematical "counter-weight" that tries to ensure that the season's final count of outcomes (let's say Home Runs) is close to what the "expected" number of home runs should be.

Or, is it entirely random based on the ratings, and the results of all of those formulas that the ratings of the batter and pitcher produce?
And, just to be clear...

Big changes to League Totals cause big changes to output in ways that are predictable by the Log5 equations. This is pretty solid evidence that the game has not clamped output to any specific level. There does not appear to be any counter-weight to ensure numbers fit into an overall "expected" number. If there is, it is completely ineffective.
RonCo is offline   Reply With Quote