Quote:
Originally Posted by RonCo
I assume it's to attempt to model Tango's selection criteria, but doing that misses the entire point of the exercise. IL and I have gone around on this about a hundred times, though, and I really have zero energy left for doing it again. He's still a beta, and I'm not.  |
Man, just saw this now. I also don't want to go around on this again, only explain my side: If I want to see if OOTP matches up with Tango, I want to apply the Tango test in OOTP to the same players Tango looked at in real life. Otherwise, it's apples and oranges, as far as I can tell. So that's what we did in beta. Tango's studies don't include players who dropped out of MLB. If you include these dropouts when you analyze OOTP development, you're not calculating Tango curves at all. Not sure what about that 'misses the entire point of the exercise'.
And there was a decent match between OOTP and Tango at one point in beta (still with some pitcher issues), but some late tweaks may have thrown things off. Many people requested that random potential drops be replaced with injury-driven potential drops - they wanted to see a reason behind dropping potential. No one presented any data to support this change, and it should never have been made, according to my analysis of real life stats of players before and after serious injury. This needs to be fixed before development as a whole has any chance of being right.