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pstrickert · 01-27-2009, 07:44 PM

Here's another observation.

I'm able to get league totals quite close to real life -- BA a point or two higher than RL, ERA about .10-.15 higher than RL. When I look at team totals, though, I notice that (after taking into account the fact that the league ERA is a tad high) I never see a team ERA below 3.00. IRL, three teams accomplished that feat: BAL, OAK, and LAD. (ATL finished with a team ERA of 3.05.) When I sim the season, the highest team ERA in each league is close to the highest team ERA in real life. But the lowest team ERA is usually about .30 higher than the lowest team ERA in real life.

What would account for these results?

EDIT: Reviewing my latest 1974 sim, I noticed that OAK (again) has a team ERA about .50 higher than RL. Several of the SPs have an ERC much lower than their season ERA. I'm not sure what this tells us, if anything. I wonder if team defense (for a team like OAK) is not influencing the outcome enough. That's only a hunch, though.

01-27-2009, 07:44 PM	#3 (permalink)
pstrickert Hall Of Famer Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 5,887 Thanks: 331 Thanked 384x in 222 posts	Here's another observation. I'm able to get league totals quite close to real life -- BA a point or two higher than RL, ERA about .10-.15 higher than RL. When I look at team totals, though, I notice that (after taking into account the fact that the league ERA is a tad high) I never see a team ERA below 3.00. IRL, three teams accomplished that feat: BAL, OAK, and LAD. (ATL finished with a team ERA of 3.05.) When I sim the season, the highest team ERA in each league is close to the highest team ERA in real life. But the lowest team ERA is usually about .30 higher than the lowest team ERA in real life. What would account for these results? EDIT: Reviewing my latest 1974 sim, I noticed that OAK (again) has a team ERA about .50 higher than RL. Several of the SPs have an ERC much lower than their season ERA. I'm not sure what this tells us, if anything. I wonder if team defense (for a team like OAK) is not influencing the outcome enough. That's only a hunch, though. Last edited by pstrickert; 01-28-2009 at 12:44 AM.