Quote:
Originally Posted by pstrickert
One final remark for tonight. Catfish Hunter won the Cy Young Award in 1974. He had the stats to back it up. In nearly every '74 sim, however, Hunter is nowhere close to replicating his real life stats. ERA, WHIP, BABIP -- not even close!
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The DIPS theory is that BABIP is mostly a combination of luck and the defense behind the pitcher. If you follow that theory, and you look at the BABIP of the other A's pitchers you listed, you come up with two reasons for the discrepancy:
1. Hunter was lucky in real life that year. If you look around your replay, you'll find other pitchers well below their BABIP totals. Those are the ones who got lucky in your replay.
2. All of the A's have high BABIPs, so the game is probably underrating one or more defenders.