Quote:
Originally Posted by Curtis
Assuming there wasn't more to Wolf's post than myasu quoted (I don't know because I have him blocked)...
|
That is the whole post in the quote.
As for modelling downturns, if you wanted to look at it by team rather than by league as Raidergoo mentioned above, I can think of three factors that I would use to determine how hard each team is affected.
You've got wealth of owner and willingness to spend in a growth market, size of fanbase, and population of the area you draw fans from.
If you've got all three, if you're in trouble the whole league is in trouble. So in MLB that's your Yankees, Mets, White Sox, Red Sox, Cubs, Angels, Dodgers, Phillies, and Cardinals. They're going to be able to spend maybe slightly deflated amounts but overall they're not going to be slashing players off the roster, they're going to be looking to improve.
If you've got two, which includes the first one and one of the other two, you'll probably rein back a bit on budgets. Because there's always the risk that either there aren't or won't be any people to take up the income that is lost by those fans who used to spend more but now want or have to limit their spending on sporting events. Also if attendance decreases, these teams are likely to reduce prices to try and get more people through the gate.
If you've got the last two without the owner, or one or nought, these are the teams that are going to reduce spending the most. Either because the owner isn't willing to spend (and has probably lost money on the stock market) or because incomes to the team are going to get lower and lower. These are also the teams if you relocate teams around in your world the most likely to move to pastures new or fold outright.
Of course there are other factors which may apply to your league such as stadium size and age and TV/radio income that don't really apply in the MLB example.
I hope that has given you some good ideas.