Quote:
Originally Posted by SteveP
I provided an estimate of that in a previous post. After collecting some additional data, I think that estimate still stands.
|
You estimated 1 or 2 double steals per year IRL in 1960. Let's choose 2. That is a rate of 2/162 games. You estimated OOTP to be 10-15 times that so the OOTP rate would be 20/162 to 30/162.
The reason I bring it up is that you might see 2 double steals in 3 games but not see another for 50 games depending on the opponent and who is on base.
Have you confirmed that OOTP produces that rate over a significant number of games? We also talked about other plays that could produce a double steal result.
Quote:
The whole point of this thread is that the rate of double steals can't be adjusted in OOTP (unless you know something I don't) 
|
I understand that. I was letting you indicate what rate to use (see above). Using 20/162 games is a little unweildy IMO, but it's all I can think of.
Quote:
Not sure what to say to that. I am reporting what I found from studying this on a game-by-game basis. That is the only way, since there are no stats IRL or in OOTP. I understand that since there are no stats on this, much of the OOTP world has no interest, but these threads on authentic gameplay are aimed at those OOTP players who do take an interest in what happens in individual games.
So, there is too much double stealing in OOTP for a 1960 league. Might be too much double stealing in OOTP period (but don't know yet). Apparently can't do anything about it anyway (but still trying different tactics). Am still curious about why it was so rare IRL in 1960. So that's what I'm putting on the table for anyone who has some thoughts about it.
|
I thought I was taking an interest. This will be a difficult issue to document without a proper sample size.