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POKeefe · 06-04-2009, 03:31 AM

Here's the D-Backs MLB Errors I see according to current stats and fangraphs:

Miguel Montero
.275/.366/.491 with 26 HR per 550 in the game editor
All projections have him as about .255/.325/.425 with 10 HR per 300

Chris Snyder
.260/.370/.476 with 26 HR per 550 in the game editor
All projections have him as about .245/.345/.425 with 14 HR per 350

Chad Tracy and Mark Reynolds
AVG and Power ratings are fairly accurate, OBP is too high though. Game has them at .355, most projections have them at roughly .335.

Eric Byrnes
Byrnes had a bleak 2008 season and his ZiPS projection only had him at a .254/.311/.428
In game he's listed at: .273/.338/.467

Chris Young
.273/.354/.516 in game
.255/.320/.469 projections -- HR numbers are accurate though

Justin Upton
.280/.372/.525 in game
.260/.350/.450 projections -- HR numbers are accurate though

Jon Garland
4.16 ERA in game
4.70 projections

Doug Davis
3.90 ERA in game
4.50 projections

Tony Pena
4.14 ERA in game
3.77 projections

Guys like Robertson, Oeltjen, Etherton, never spent a day on the D-Backs MLB roster. Some of these guys have outperformed projections, some have underperformed them. I plan on going team through team and comparing projections to in game stats. Some guys like Upton and Montero, I think the game overprojected them. They have the potential to do a lot, but projections for 2009 were a bit too rosy.

EDIT: Also like to note that I think the roster makers did a great job with the MILB guys for the D-Backs. Right projections for all.

06-04-2009, 03:31 AM	#64 (permalink)
POKeefe Minors (Double A) Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 107 Thanked 2x in 2 posts	Here's the D-Backs MLB Errors I see according to current stats and fangraphs: Miguel Montero .275/.366/.491 with 26 HR per 550 in the game editor All projections have him as about .255/.325/.425 with 10 HR per 300 Chris Snyder .260/.370/.476 with 26 HR per 550 in the game editor All projections have him as about .245/.345/.425 with 14 HR per 350 Chad Tracy and Mark Reynolds AVG and Power ratings are fairly accurate, OBP is too high though. Game has them at .355, most projections have them at roughly .335. Eric Byrnes Byrnes had a bleak 2008 season and his ZiPS projection only had him at a .254/.311/.428 In game he's listed at: .273/.338/.467 Chris Young .273/.354/.516 in game .255/.320/.469 projections -- HR numbers are accurate though Justin Upton .280/.372/.525 in game .260/.350/.450 projections -- HR numbers are accurate though Jon Garland 4.16 ERA in game 4.70 projections Doug Davis 3.90 ERA in game 4.50 projections Tony Pena 4.14 ERA in game 3.77 projections Guys like Robertson, Oeltjen, Etherton, never spent a day on the D-Backs MLB roster. Some of these guys have outperformed projections, some have underperformed them. I plan on going team through team and comparing projections to in game stats. Some guys like Upton and Montero, I think the game overprojected them. They have the potential to do a lot, but projections for 2009 were a bit too rosy. EDIT: Also like to note that I think the roster makers did a great job with the MILB guys for the D-Backs. Right projections for all. Last edited by POKeefe; 06-04-2009 at 04:00 AM.