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Old 09-13-2009, 02:39 AM   #38 (permalink)
Syd Thrift
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Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers

Don't look now but the Tigers might have turned a corner. Following a sweep at the hands of the Yankees in Yankee Stadium that concluded August 2nd, Detroit finished the season 32-29. The pitching was pretty terrible from beginning to the end but a strange thing happened: the offense started scoring enough runs to win. They're a typical young team: they don't know how to wait for pitches yet but they rip longballs as well as anybody in the league and are quite fast as well. This is great news for a club with a losing streak that is nearly as long as Cleveland's. It's hard to believe that this is the same club that was the toast of the American League in the teens and early 20s.

Code:
Record overall 67-87, .435 PCT 7th, 29.0 GB 
Home          34-43, .442 PCT 
Road          33-44, .429 PCT 
X-inning games 3-10, .231 PCT 
One-run games 18-15, .545 PCT 
Versus LHP    20-27, .426 PCT 
Versus RHP    47-60, .439 PCT 
April          4-6, .400 PCT 
May           11-16, .407 PCT 
June          10-17, .370 PCT 
July          10-17, .370 PCT 
August        14-13, .519 PCT 
September     13-12, .520 PCT 
October        5-6, .455 PCT 


Team Batting Stats & Rankings 
Batting Average     .281 - 6th in AL 
On-Base Percentage  .325 - 8th in AL 
Slugging Percentage .417 - 5th in AL 
On-Base + Slugging  .742 - 7th in AL 
Runs Scored          793 - 5th in AL 
Hits                1581 - 6th in AL 
Extra-Base Hits      500 - 3rd in AL 
Home Runs             99 - 4th in AL 
Bases-On-Balls       367 - 8th in AL 
Strikeouts           533 - 7th in AL 
Stolen Bases          47 - 3rd in AL 
    
Team Pitching Stats & Rankings 
Earned Run Average  5.29 - 8th in AL 
Starters' ERA       5.31 - 7th in AL 
Bullpen ERA         5.24 - 7th in AL 
Runs allowed         925 - 6th in AL 
Hits allowed        1684 - 5th in AL 
Opponents AVG       .301 - 6th in AL 
BABIP               .311 - 6th in AL 
Home Runs allowed    123 - 8th in AL 
Bases-On-Balls       664 - 8th in AL 
Strikeouts           452 - 5th in AL
Pitching

The pitching staff can be summed up by Eric Overcash teaching a bunch of kids how to pitch. Overcash is an unlikely choice for teacher. Detroit was the 6th team of his 10 year career. Sooner or later everybody seems to tire of his game, which doesn't feature anything fantastic but also doesn't have any single noticeable flaw (at least now that he's sort of learned a bit of control). The first five clubs he played for released him outright. For Detroit he managed to overcome giving up a career high 20 homeruns and a BB/K ratio of almost 2:1 to record his third straight .500 or better season.

After Overcash the staff consisted of a bunch of young guys who got outs with varying level of consistency. One thing they all had in common was control, or rather a lack thereof. This is what you get, we guess, when Ed Overcash is your pitching mentor.

Code:
Player               Age    W    L    Pct    G   GS   SV      IP     H    ER   HR    BB    SO    ERA  VORP
Ed Overcash            33   14   14  0.500   35   35    0   259.1   288   131   20   124    71   4.55  47.6
Eric Jackson           26    8    8  0.500   29   23    1     167   190    77   15    37    59   4.15  37.3
Ben Armstrong          26    8    9  0.471   43   14    3     138   167    82    9    83    65   5.35  14.9
Marvin Robinson        20    5    8  0.385   23   16    1   127.1   159    82   14    64    55   5.80   6.6
Dan Simmons            30    7    6  0.538   16   16    0     115   152    61   19    41    35   4.77  18.6
Bi-jun Seow            30    6    6  0.500   20   14    0     105   135    61    7    45    16   5.23  12.5
Chadwick Duffy         23    5    5  0.500   50    0   16    78.2    84    30    3    30    45   3.43  22.9
Craig Mahone           41    2    7  0.222   13    9    0    71.1    98    48    8    40    12   6.06   1.5
Charlie Henderson      23    1    7  0.125   10   10    0      56    79    53    3    43    18   8.52 -12.4
Danny Collier          23    5    2  0.714   30    0    2    55.1    61    28    6    29    20   4.55  10.2
Luis López             34    2    3  0.400    8    8    0      48    56    28    1    31     7   5.25   5.6
Harry Stringham        22    0    3  0.000   23    0    0    42.2    53    34    6    30     9   7.17  -3.6
Curtis Ballentine      28    1    3  0.250    6    6    0    27.2    46    28    1     9     8   9.11  -8.5
Bob Gragg              23    0    0  0.000   14    0    1    22.2    41    23    7    12    11   9.13  -6.2
Curt Blue              20    2    1  0.667   13    0    1    18.1    17     2    0    11     6   0.98   9.7
Bryan Debose           21    0    0  0.000   12    0    0      16    25     9    1    10     6   5.06   2.2
Harry Harvey           20    0    3  0.000    3    3    0      10    17    15    2    15     3  13.50  -7.1
Byron Honeycutt        25    1    2  0.333    9    0    0      10    16    13    1    10     6  11.70  -5.4
Team Totals            26   67   87  0.435  357  154   25  1368.1  1684   805  123   664   452   5.29 146.4
Catcher/First Base

Lomond's ability and age screams "trade bait". A strained oblique kept him from setting career highs in runs and RBIs; clearly he is in the prime of his career. This offseason the Tigers need to ask themselves the hard question of whether or not Mark Morrison is ready for the big leagues. If he is, Lomond is out of here. Morrison has hit .372 and .309 in the minors the last two years but so far hasn't been able to translate that success to the world's stage.

The Tigers liked John Owen's bat and tried him at first base with less than great results. Some players have a natural position and need to be there to be the most effective. Speaking of first baseman, the Tigers haven't quite given up on David Garrett yet, despite a career average of .251 over 419 at-bats. It's put up or shut up time for him.

Code:
Pos Player                  Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS  VORP
C   #Jim Lomond               30  102   99   380    66   124   28    5   14    67    0    1    47    26  0.326  0.400  0.537  0.937  34.1
C   John Owen                 27   71   65   254    34    68   12    0    9    38    0    0    28    18  0.268  0.345  0.421  0.766  -5.4
C   Mark Morrison             23   14   10    42     3    11    4    0    0     8    0    0     3     3  0.262  0.311  0.357  0.668  -1.0

1B  Don Gordon                29   84   63   247    52    72   11    4    7    39    0    0    42    22  0.291  0.395  0.453  0.849   6.9
1B  John Joseph               31   48   28   131    18    30    8    0    1    15    1    0     8    10  0.229  0.277  0.313  0.590 -11.9
1B  David Garrett             23   42   30   121    16    24    2    2    4    15    1    0    16    11  0.198  0.295  0.347  0.642 -11.6
1B  Garrett Gully             29   26   13    57     4     8    2    1    1     9    0    0     3     7  0.140  0.194  0.263  0.457  -7.6
Infield

So far in his three year career, Charlie Parson has alternated two solid seasons with one really horrible one. Needless to say that the Tigers would like him to halt that trend. Last year he was a fantastic utility man, splitting time between third base and right field and ending the season as the Tigers' #3 hitter.

Noah Bashford, a waiver-wire pickup from the Philadelphia Phillies, provides the grit and determination one needs at the keystone position. He came into the organization in the nick of time: it as hoped that Ron Paquette would be able to handle the bat well enough to justify his very good fielding but he ultimately proved that he is best suited as a late-inning defensive replacement and emergency sub. That's probably the best role for Yoshifumi Yamamoto as well but Detroit fans love the flashy plays the man makes. He'll at least continue to provide a bit of enjoyment until the team needs actual production from the position.

Code:
Pos Player                   Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS  VORP
2B  Ron Paquette              27   90   76   325    43    77   11    3    2    37    5    5    18    26  0.237  0.281  0.308  0.588 -22.9
2B  Jason Irwin               23   92   63   263    35    83   15    2    5    40    1    4    14    17  0.316  0.349  0.445  0.794  11.5
2B  Noah Bashford             27   57   55   205    26    63    8    2    3    35    2    2    16    27  0.307  0.353  0.410  0.762   8.6
2B  *Phil Beadle              26    5    5    16     2     2    0    1    0     1    0    0     2     4  0.125  0.211  0.250  0.461  -0.7

3B  Charlie Parson            23  136  133   569    89   182   28    7   12    79    6    1    31    61  0.320  0.353  0.457  0.810  22.7
3B  Benedict Henderson        33   65   65   290    45    88   24    2    6    36    1    0    19    18  0.303  0.345  0.462  0.807  12.0

SS  Yoshifumi Yamamoto        31  110  108   366    34    94   16    4    1    42    2    4    28    37  0.257  0.307  0.331  0.637 -17.6
SS  Clarence Hines            22    4    2     7     0     1    0    0    0     1    0    0     0     2  0.143  0.143  0.143  0.286  -1.3
SS  Matt Collins              28    7    0     6     0     1    1    0    0     0    0    0     0     0  0.167  0.167  0.333  0.500  -0.7
Outfield

Carl Penley looks like the real deal. He set pretty much every record for a teenager that you can imagine. Teenagers, heck - those 57 two-baggers were the most anybody has hit in Major League Baseball history. You would hope that one day he learns that you get to first base for free once you get four balls. Even if he never gets better at the game, though - and you just know he's going to get better - he might end up the best outfielder of the 1930s - and the 1940s.

Between Penley, Bill Taylor, Gene Smyth, and Rusty McCarty, the Tigers have four top-quality outfielders who are all under 25 years of age. That's not just a good path to .500, that's a path to American League dominance. Obviously the Tigers have a lot of ground to make up elsewhere but this is one heck of a start.

Code:
Pos Player                   Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS  VORP
LF  Carl Penley               19  117  117   555    88   190   57   11    5    55   15    6     3    60  0.342  0.345  0.512  0.857  23.4
LF  *Ed Berndt                27   13    0    13     0     2    0    0    0     1    0    0     1     1  0.154  0.214  0.154  0.368  -2.1

CF  #Bill Taylor              25  103  102   442    62   130   27   11    7    56   10    3    17    50  0.294  0.319  0.452  0.771   9.2
CF  *Gene Smyth               21   74   72   296    44    96   19    2    7    50    0    0    38    19  0.324  0.402  0.473  0.875  19.0
CF  Naoya Imai                30   48   30   148    21    35    6    2    1    14    2    0    11    12  0.236  0.287  0.324  0.612  -7.9
CF  *Tod Bly                  24   21   21    92    14    24    5    3    2    16    0    2     2     5  0.261  0.277  0.446  0.722  -1.6
CF  Mal Wenger                31   12    5    24     2     5    4    0    0     2    0    0     2     1  0.208  0.269  0.375  0.644  -0.9

RF  #Rusty McCarty            23   58   51   208    31    61   18    3    6    37    0    0     5    25  0.293  0.303  0.495  0.798   5.0
RF  Bob Scarbrough            26   39   19   103    15    26    7    0    4    19    0    0     2     7  0.252  0.274  0.437  0.710  -5.0
Code:
-   *Cory Atkins              30    4    0     4     1     1    0    0    0     1    0    0     0     0  0.250  0.250  0.250  0.500  -0.4
-   *Je-myung Kim             22    4    0     4     0     1    0    0    0     0    0    0     0     0  0.250  0.250  0.250  0.500  -0.3
    Team Totals             26.2 1803 1386  5625   793  1581  336   65   99   748   47   28   367   533  0.281  0.325  0.417  0.742  61.8
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