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Old 09-29-2009, 05:27 AM   #43 (permalink)
Syd Thrift
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Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The Pittsburgh Pirates, the cream of the National League throughout the 1920s, proved that their fall from grace in 1931 was no fluke. This team was so desperate entering the year that they signed Yankees castoff Bill Red to be their manager. Red was no more able to stem the tide from the man who preceded him. This club settled into mediocrity early and stayed there all season.

An optimist might say that this team is trying to build itself around its spacious ballpark. However, as good as the pitching was, when you can't score 3 runs a game in today's baseball you will lose. This club has not gotten significantly younger with its dive into so-so-ness; the worst times may be yet to come.

Code:
Record overall 73-81, .474 PCT 6th, 37.0 GB 
Home          38-39, .494 PCT 
Road          35-42, .455 PCT 
X-inning games 7-10, .412 PCT 
One-run games 27-25, .519 PCT 
Versus LHP    15-19, .441 PCT 
Versus RHP    58-62, .483 PCT 
April          4-5, .444 PCT 
May           13-16, .448 PCT 
June          16-11, .593 PCT 
July          16-14, .533 PCT 
August        12-16, .429 PCT 
September     11-14, .440 PCT 
October        1-5, .167 PCT 

Team Batting Stats & Rankings 
Batting Average     .276 - 8th in NL 
On-Base Percentage  .333 - 7th in NL 
Slugging Percentage .395 - 8th in NL 
On-Base + Slugging  .728 - 8th in NL 
Runs Scored          726 - 8th in NL 
Hits                1515 - 8th in NL 
Extra-Base Hits      446 - 8th in NL 
Home Runs             61 - 8th in NL 
Bases-On-Balls       475 - 6th in NL 
Strikeouts           452 - 2nd in NL 
Stolen Bases          37 - 6th in NL 
  
Team Pitching Stats & Rankings 
Earned Run Average  4.18 - 2nd in NL 
Starters' ERA       4.17 - 3rd in NL 
Bullpen ERA         4.21 - 4th in NL 
Runs allowed         761 - 2nd in NL 
Hits allowed        1571 - 2nd in NL 
Opponents AVG       .283 - 2nd in NL 
BABIP               .291 - 3rd in NL 
Home Runs allowed    113 - 5th in NL 
Bases-On-Balls       419 - 2nd in NL 
Strikeouts           434 - 6th in NL
Pitching

Even though the pitching was the bright spot of this team, it's still a pessimistic picture. We would note the wacky aspect of interposing "pitcher" and "picture" but we are too sad right now to do so. The ace of the staff turned 36 years of age in June. While that's nice from a sentimental ticket-selling standpoint - David Brace was present for all but the first year of the Pirates' incredible 1919-1928 run when they won seven pennants and three World Series in ten years - it's not so great from a future wins standpoint. What will the Pirates do when Brace finally slows down? And what if Brace gets tired of the locale and wants to go somewhere where he can win another championship? Brace loves Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh loves him right back but these things must be considered.

After Grace, the Pirates' best start is probably Jimmy Engel. Engel had a horrendous 1931 (11-23, 4.55 ERA) but manage to find better control of his forkball in '32. As a result, his homers allowed actually dipped during the Year of the Hitter. His walk rate dropped precipitously as well. Still, there is some cause for concern, as his ability to miss bats, never great, has declined the last two seasons.

Code:
Player                Age    W    L    Pct    G   GS   SV      IP     H    ER   HR    BB    SO    ERA  VORP
Dave Brace             35   22   15  0.595   40   40    0     322   343   134   29    54   114   3.75  42.7
Jimmy Engel            28   15   13  0.536   32   31    0   253.2   267   115   17    97    87   4.08  21.6
César Fernando         39   10   15  0.400   31   31    0   223.1   265   109   21    68    43   4.39  10.6
Bruce Flinn            34    7   16  0.304   24   24    0   189.1   233    92   22    55    51   4.37   7.1
Roger Dixson           30    5    5  0.500   13   13    0     101   108    41    6    30    37   3.65  13.4
Carl Redd              22    3    1  0.750   28    0    0      61    56    18    3    24    25   2.66  16.5
Joe Allen              23    2    6  0.250   15    7    0      60    89    48    3    39     7   7.20 -19.2
Brian Turner           33    6    3  0.667   40    0   10      59    70    20    3     9    32   3.05  13.2
Paul Slocum            19    3    3  0.500    7    7    0    52.2    58    19    2    19    18   3.25  10.3
Don Herrington         28    0    2  0.000   28    1    0    51.1    67    36    4    23    18   6.31 -10.6
Russ Carter            28    0    0  0.000    4    0    0     4.1     6     3    0     1     0   6.23  -0.9
Henry Jones            27    0    2  0.000    4    0    0     3.2     9     6    3     0     2  14.73  -4.8
Team Totals          28.8   73   81  0.474  266  154   10  1381.1  1571   641  113   419   434   4.18  99.8
Catcher/First Base

With longtime starter Jake Moore crumbling at the plate, the Pirates turned to a platoon with young'un Bill Watson in mid-August. Watson wasn't great but he is still young. Moore, however, has a rocket for an arm - he caught 60% of the men who tried to steal on him last year, and very few people tried to steal on him - and is quite popular with the fans, so do not expect him to go without a fight.

At first pase, Jim Ponder has shown very little, relatively speaking, since a breakout rookie campaign in 1930 when he hit .363. When you don't hit for a lot of power and don't really get on base all that much, a .363 average still makes you a great player. With a .307 average, you really need to do more than hit singles. His slip expanded a role for pinch hitting specialist Bill Laird.

Code:
Pos Player                   Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS  VORP
C   Jake Moore                33  109  104   374    35   110   20    2    2    47    3    0    37    23  0.294  0.357  0.374  0.731   3.6
C   *Bill Watson              22   61   50   198    25    59   14    6    1    38    3    1    10    10  0.298  0.329  0.444  0.773   3.1

1B  Jim Ponder                24  130  120   492    64   151   22    4    7    70    0    0    49    23  0.307  0.369  0.411  0.779  -1.3
1B  *Bill Laird               31   63   34   147    29    50    3    0    5    23    2    3    17    15  0.340  0.404  0.463  0.866   6.3
Infield

Like so many people at his advanced age (note: we are being a little sarcastic here as we are also 35), Richard Martin hit well when he was able to play but he just wasn't able to play that often. Penciled in as the starter at the beginning of the year, Martin got the injury ball rolling and got it rolling often. When a guy suffers a cataclysmic injury it's not exactly a good thing but it can at least be attributed to dumb luck. Martin spent time on the bench or the disabled list five times last year nursing an assortment of unrelated hurts. As much as they'd like to, the Pirates cannot depend on him for even 100 games at second. Sadly, there is a big, big drop-off.

Mark Vick and Mark Melton would both have been solid backups on a team like the Giants or the Yankees. With the Pirates, both started the entire season. Bill Red went out and acquired former Cub John Chastain off the waiver wire to push Melton; he's not very good either but he's a different variety of not very good and perhaps Red can combine their not-good parts into something that resembles a good player. Since this is baseball, not science fiction, we are leaving our optimism in the optimism pantry.

Code:
Pos Player                   Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS  VORP
2B  #Richard Martin           35   80   71   284    35    91   17    6    0    34    2    4    37    21  0.320  0.398  0.423  0.820  16.8
2B  Steve Lewis               23   82   75   274    27    64    4    5    5    42    2    0    27     6  0.234  0.301  0.339  0.641  -1.5
2B  Christian Humphrey        28   36   18    70     7    18    3    0    0    14    0    1     2    11  0.257  0.269  0.300  0.569  -5.2
2B  Dave Marble               26    2    0     1     1     0    0    0    0     0    0    0     0     0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  -0.2

3B  Mark Vick                 32  147  147   573    65   169   27    6    8    85    4    3    45    44  0.295  0.343  0.405  0.748   7.2

SS  Mark Melton               29  149  149   625    89   184   35    8   11    78    6    2    52    58  0.294  0.356  0.429  0.785  13.9
Outfield

Joshua Cohen really played too much in his victory lap around the National League. In his heyday he struck fear into the hearts of opposing pitchers and catchers too. His career highs include a .394 average in 1925, 120 runs scored in 1928, 106 RBI in 1924, hitting in the three hole instead of the leadoff spot for the Philadelphia A's, and 41 steals in 1917. Last year he was little more than crafty. He isn't even a Pirates hero, although he probably did get people through the turnstiles as he is much beloved in the state of Pennsylvania.

One less heralded but much more devastating retirement was that of John Giron. Giron decided to call it quits when he was on top, it seems: he hadn't been given the chance to play every day since his prospect bubble was burst back in 1922, and the journeyman made the most of it, finishing second in the league in doubles and cobbling together a career-high 176 hits.

As the stories of bad teams go, one thing you often find are cases of guys who just suddenly seem to lose it for no discernable reason. For the Pirates, that was Clark Becker. After hitting .330 for the Cardinals in 1931, the Pirates thought they were getting a steal when they acquired him for a minor league middle infielder and cash. As it turns out, the Cards may have gotten the better end of the deal even though their guy may never see the major leagues. Becker went into a 3 for 34 slump to open the season and never snapped out of it. With pitchers no longer fearful of his ability to hit bad balls into the gaps, his walk rate went down as well. The Pirates are likely to give him one more try just to try and wipe the egg off their face but it's not likely to be a long try.

Code:
Pos Player                   Age    G   GS    AB     R     H   2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS    BB    SO    AVG    OBP    SLG    OPS   VORP
LF  John Giron                37  141  139   601   101   176   55   15    4    65    2    7    36    65  0.293  0.331  0.454  0.786   3.8
LF  Joshua Cohen              41   80   47   222    32    58    9    3    2    17    3    1    26    29  0.261  0.339  0.356  0.695  -5.7
LF  Masafumi Kojima           30   14    3    23     2     8    1    1    0     4    1    0     3     3  0.348  0.423  0.478  0.901   2.0

CF  *Daniel Gravel            27  110  110   442    80   137   44   15    6    70    4    8    54    49  0.310  0.384  0.518  0.902  19.4
CF  Joe Gehrke                27   41   41   167    22    43    1    5    0     5    1    2    10    12  0.257  0.299  0.323  0.623  -8.3

RF  *Clark Becker             28   79   64   265    34    49   10    3    4    21    3    2    27    12  0.185  0.263  0.291  0.553 -25.3
RF  *Herbert Fisher           27   43   38   160    22    49    6    1    5    27    0    0    20    12  0.306  0.383  0.450  0.833   8.6
RF  *Paul Hight               26   43   22   109    17    22    5    3    0     9    1    1    14     4  0.202  0.293  0.303  0.595  -9.9
Code:
Team Totals                 29.1 1676 1386  5496   726  1515  297   88   61   684   37   35   475   452  0.276  0.333  0.395  0.728  33.1
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