OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Starting Pitchers Success Tied To K Rate?

His Own Bad Self · 11-04-2009, 01:07 AM

The average K rate per 27 outs over Spahn's career was roughly 4.5. You can be pretty sure that when James used 4.5K/9 as the lower limits to the rule, he wasn't talking about the '50s.

Apply the 4.5K/9 rule to a modern context (the 2000s), and that's about 70% of the league average (assuming a 6.5K/9 average). 70% of a 5.5 average gives a "replacement level" of 3.8. Apply it to a 4.5 average; the RL is 3.1.

This really shouldn't be that difficult to grasp.

11-04-2009, 01:07 AM	#10 (permalink)
His Own Bad Self All Star Starter Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Phoenix, AZ Posts: 1,209 Blog Entries: 12 Thanks: 15 Thanked 14x in 9 posts	The average K rate per 27 outs over Spahn's career was roughly 4.5. You can be pretty sure that when James used 4.5K/9 as the lower limits to the rule, he wasn't talking about the '50s. Apply the 4.5K/9 rule to a modern context (the 2000s), and that's about 70% of the league average (assuming a 6.5K/9 average). 70% of a 5.5 average gives a "replacement level" of 3.8. Apply it to a 4.5 average; the RL is 3.1. This really shouldn't be that difficult to grasp.