Quote:
Originally Posted by crackpott
I read the odds of the two different ways. Going for it produced an approximately 79% chance of winning. Punting would yield approximately a 70% chance of winning.
Statistically, he made the right call.
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And that's not even considering the particular players involved. He's got a hot Tom Brady and an excellent offense trying for two yards against an okay defense. Versus a hot Peyton Manning going against a tired NE defense. So those odds probably leaned even a little bit more in Belichick's favor.
But, for comparison, sometimes in Blackjack you make the correct call and "stay" on 20 against a dealer's 15, and then the dealer gets 21. Been there...
