Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22
Read the article. They had a 79 percent chance of winning if they go for while they had a 70 percent chance of winning if they gambled and punted the ball to the Colts.
Gambling would have actually been punting the ball since the odds were worse of winning the game that way  |
79% doesnt tell you where the other teams went for it on 4th. How many other times have you heard of a coach going for it on 4th and 2 on his own 28? If the pctg is so great we would see it happen all the time. Theres a reason teams punt. It works. The problem is when they lay back in a prevent defense too soon.
Given the same amount of times as a team punting im willing to bet that that 79% drops lowering than the 70%.