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Old 10-25-2009, 08:38 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Amateur Player Draft-Feeder Leagues

What are the odds of a pitcher coming from feeder HS and College leagues with 2 pitches developing a 3rd pitch?

Thank you.

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Old 10-25-2009, 09:00 PM   #2 (permalink)
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The exact odds are unknown, but they're better for a pitcher with high Work Ethic and especially Intelligence.

In the end, it's random.
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Old 10-25-2009, 09:03 PM   #3 (permalink)
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So, taking one as your first pick in the draft is a questionable proposition? Would HS kid be more likely to develop a 3rd pitch than a College kid?

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Old 10-25-2009, 09:10 PM   #4 (permalink)
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So, taking one as your first pick in the draft is a questionable proposition?
I would not take a 2-pitch pitcher with the first overall pick unless he had max pitching ratings on whatever your scale is, no.

If the guy looks like this guy, I would think about it. This player was selected 2nd overall in a hyper-competitive online league.

http://www.theguba.net/news/html/pla...yer_20531.html

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Would HS kid be more likely to develop a 3rd pitch than a College kid?

In my experience, I would assume so, solely because they have more time to reach the majors and a higher ceiling than most college players. More time in the minors = more time to potentially develop that 3rd pitch. Again, if you're banking on looking for these kind of players, I would shoot for those with good Work Ethic and Intelligence.
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Last edited by Afino; 10-25-2009 at 09:11 PM.
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Old 10-25-2009, 09:17 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Thank you for the information. It was helpful. We are 0-100 but I don't think one can surpass 100...Stats and potential out of this world but only 2 pitches...ack!

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