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Old 05-16-2009, 10:51 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Pickoffs at 1st base

Are there way too many pickoffs at 1st base? Are there any stats in the game that tracks this?
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Old 05-16-2009, 11:15 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Impossible to answer. My impression is no, but you know the reliability of impressions without evidence.

What do you think?
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Old 05-16-2009, 11:21 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I've always thought there were too few. I've also thought that there should be rundown PbP to go along with it. A lot of pickoffs are rundowns.
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Old 05-16-2009, 11:50 AM   #4 (permalink)
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My impression is no, but you know the reliability of impressions without evidence.
A simple NO to the question if the game tracked these stats would have done.

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I've always thought there were too few. I've also thought that there should be rundown PbP to go along with it. A lot of pickoffs are rundowns.
I just don't seem to see it happen much while watching Red Sox games. Maybe the Sox have extraordinary base runners and their pitchers don't know how to throw to 1st.

No, I don't have stats for that either.
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Old 05-16-2009, 01:05 PM   #5 (permalink)
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I've tracked this (collected data) and compared to real life game logs. OOTP gets this pretty accurately. It's one of those stats where you have to look at a lot of games to get useful results. One of the things that most gamers don't see (because they sim or use the other methods of speeding things up) is how often pitchers throw over the first. This is heavily influenced by the hold runners setting in team strategies, and to a small extent (I think) by the hold runner ratings of the pitchers and the ratings of catchers (for POs by the catchers).

So, you can get more or less PO attempts in a series of games than might occur IRL, which influences the number of successful attempts, and also the number of errors. At least from what I found, while one could quibble with the exact results, it isn't all that far off.
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Old 05-16-2009, 01:26 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Thanks Steve

I probably think I'm seeing too many pickoffs 'cause I'm watching games PbP a dozen times in a row. When watching a real game once a day (falling asleep in the middle of it, doesn't help either) seeing successful pickoffs aren't as noticeable.
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Old 05-16-2009, 03:21 PM   #7 (permalink)
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I would say no also. I play all my teams games out and its a rare for there to be a pickoff at first.
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Old 05-17-2009, 03:06 PM   #8 (permalink)
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I should have added that the game doesn't attempt to distinguish a successful PO where the runner is tagged at first, and the type of PO that results in a rundown. It would be cool if it did, but to some extent that is just cosmetics (that is, the runner is out either way, it's only a difference of who actually tagged him) unless the rundown situation allowed for alternative outcomes (for example, a throwing error). But that's a level of complexity the game hasn't gotten to (yet )
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Old 05-18-2009, 10:16 PM   #9 (permalink)
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My pitchers can only PO guys on 2nd. They can never pull off a successful one at 1B. My guys can get PO at 1st though. My catcher has managed 4 PO's at 1B.
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Old 05-18-2009, 10:40 PM   #10 (permalink)
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I have picked off guys at first with my pitcher. It seems to mostly be with lefties. I get a handful a season if I play all the games.
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Old 05-18-2009, 10:49 PM   #11 (permalink)
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I have picked off guys at first with my pitcher. It seems to mostly be with lefties. I get a handful a season if I play all the games.
Care to trade a pitcher or two?
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Old 05-18-2009, 11:47 PM   #12 (permalink)
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I've never been able to do it with my pitcher, but I've had it happen against me plenty.
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Old 05-20-2009, 03:56 PM   #13 (permalink)
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With me it went in streaks. Over the first ten games (I play out) I picked twenty guys. I complained about it to Markus, and he replied, 'sample size'. The next eight games I picked no one, but committed six errors trying. Over the past nine games I've only picked two, with one throwing error.

It would appear that Markus was right.
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Old 05-20-2009, 04:31 PM   #14 (permalink)
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It would appear that Markus was right.
Don't tell him that. We want to keep him off-balance.
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