The Philadelphia Phillies: How many years without a championship?

[Hurkman]

(Note: The following takes place inside a fictional historical replay. Things have changed, some of them are more unlikely and humorous than what happened in this world.)



December 1, 2008

Phillies can manager, general manager after .500 season

It was a scene Philadelphia fans were all too familiar with.

As the 2008 Major League Baseball season came to a close, the Los Angeles Dodgers celebrated with a world championship, the sixth in team history. Meanwhile, the Phillies, who have stayed rooted, somehow, in one place for their entire history, are still waiting for their first title. With fans fed up after an 81-81 season, management knew what had to be done.

The first head to roll was that of manager Barry Larkin. While Larkin's World Series pedegree (1998 with the Yankees) and ability to turn around the Phils from a last place team into a first place team in his first season were impressive, two straight poor seasons, coupled with rumors that he had lost control of the clubhouse did him in.

Just a few days later, general manager Theo Epstein got the news fans were hoping he would hear for years. The final straw, according to sources, was when Epstein was unable to work a deal for free agent to be José Reyes. Reyes, who batted .286 with 88 stolen bases and 105 runs scored in 2008, was willing to take a lower salary to stay with the team that drafted him, but Epstein was unwilling to offer a meaningful salary, and the Phillies watched their starting shortstop walk out the door. Just a week later, Epstein followed, and it doesn't look like Philadelphia is going to miss him at all.

Today, news came that the Phillies had named replacements for both Larkin and Epstein. Taking over the general manager's office will be another youngster, 37 year old David Hurka. Hurka, the assistant general manager under Epstein, has no general manager experience, but his scouting and contract negotiation skills are said by some to be among the best in baseball.

"I look forward to taking this team to new heights," Hurka said, stating that the team is just a few moves away from competing for a championship.

"We've waited far too long to fly a World Series flag out there, and that's going to change very soon, I can assure you of that."

Next to be introduced was the new manager, Sandy Alomar, Sr. While questions were raised about Alomar's age, the 65 year old has won two World Series, both with the cross-state Pirates in 1996 and 1997, and was a bench coach for the 2004 champion St. Louis Cardinals.

"The Phillies represent a new challenge for me," Alomar said. "I can not wait to lead them onto the field in 2009 and show the rest of the National League East what we have to offer."

While the attitudes shown by the two new men in charge at least bode well for the future, Phillies fans know that without a championship in the next few seasons, the revolving door of managers will just continue. Will this be the year that finally ends the 107 year drought? Only time will tell.




Another article writing us off. If there's one thing this town needs, it's less sportswriters.

I sighed and threw the Daily News on top of the growing pile of newspapers from the big day. I'd only been named general manager three hours ago, and already I'd been hit with more questions than I ever thought possible. What are you going to do to replace Reyes? Do you really think Gregg Zaun can handle a full season behind the plate at age 37? Do you have a plan for filling the back end of the rotation? I swear, I heard it all today, but no answer I gave was going to satisfy these people, not unless I brought home a trophy.

One hundred and seven years. That's how long the Phillies have played in the National League. Sure, the World Series wasn't around for every year, but it's been there for most of them. All but four teams have won a title, and none of the other ones were around before 1976. I mean hell, even Tampa Bay has won a championship! In 107 years, we've made the playoffs eight times. Eight damn times! The Braves have 11 championships, and the first ten came the first ten times they went to the playoffs. The Yankees have 14 ttles, the Pirates 10.

Of course, it's not like we haven't had our share of solid players here. Joe Dimaggio played here. So did Al Rosen, Roy Campanella, Chipper Jones, Dickie Thon and Orlando Cepeda. Hell, Harry Heilmann set the all time record for hits here before Stan Musial blew it away. We've had pitching, too. Tom Glavine, Catfish Hunter, Bob Friend, David Wells, Charles Nagy, Mariano Rivera, they've all worn Phillies uniforms for at least part of their careers.

Now, I get to start again. People are already doubting my abilities, but it's not like I haven't heard that before. I was born and raised in the Delaware Valley, a Phillie fan from inside the womb. I was never great at sports, but by God I knew stats. I could tell you how many home runs Babe Ruth had after he became a hitter, or how many strikeouts Satchel Paige had during his 33-3 season in Cincinnati like most people could turn on a light switch. I did the usual stuff, went to college, worked with the baseball team for four years, and then walked into the cold grip of reality. It was 1992, I was 21 years old, and no one wanted to hire me. I ended up having to take an assistant scouting job with the expansion Colorado Rockies.

For a couple of years, I stayed in the background. I let the older guys do their thing and I just watched and learned. I asked questions whenever I could, got myself aquainted with the modern age, working on computers and using the internet to send stats anywhere I wanted in a fraction of a second. Of course, the team stunk royally for the first few years, but I saw what was being done. I watched as a young Alex Rodriguez came up through the minors to Colorado and what was looked at when it came time to call him up. Eventually, I became one of the lead scouts, and when just about everyone else thought it was time to give up on a young pitcher, I told them to hold on. I knew something was going to work with him. Just two years after finishing with an ERA around 5.00, Johan Santana won 15 games and helped get the Rockies to the playoffs for the first time.

I took one other big chance while I was out there. I managed to convince everyone on the day of the amateur draft that selecting a strong, tall first baseman was a good idea, despite his high strikeout numbers. Of course, everyone knows what happened after that. Ryan Howard set the major league home run record in his rookie season, and my name shot to the top of everyone's scouting lists. When Philadelphia came calling, I had to listen. I took the job as assitant general manager. I watched as Theo called the shots, worked the phones and basically thought he could walk on water. I told him not to lowball Reyes. I knew he would walk, even though we drafted him. I warned Theo that his job was on the line, but he didn't want to listen. "Expensive ballplayers bring down a team," he told me.

Well, now he's the one looking for work, and I'm the one in his office. I can't say I was too sad when he packed up. I'd wanted this job since I was seven, and now, it was mine. I know I'm on a short leash, and if I can't bring home a championship in three years, my seat's going to get awfully warm. This is the job I've always wanted, now it's a matter of seeing what I can do with it.

Damn, now ESPN's on my case. I swear, if I have to watch Albert Belle smile and say how my lack of experience is going to hurt us one more time, I'm going to regret cheering for him when he made the Hall of Fame. I better look over this roster some more, see what holes need to be filled. I don't need to be run out of town on a rail like Theo, I know that much.

[Hurkman]

At least the first three starters will make my job easy, but after that...let's just say some work needs to be done.

Starting Pitchers

#1: John Lackey, R: 19-6, 2.74 ERA, 204 K, 2008 Cy Young Award Winner
Well, this is a good start to the rotation. Lackey is a career Phillie, having been drafted before I got here. He struggled before 2007, and then really flipped a switch, winning 16 games that season and the Cy Young this past year. If he's going anywhere, it's over my cold, dead body.

2009 Salary: $12,175,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: Is there a percent higher than 100%?

#2: Tim Lincecum, R: 15-8, 3.65 ERA, 215 K
He may not be a Cy Young winner yet, but Tim is one hell of a number two pitcher in my rotation. He's only 24 years old, and he's already won 15 games for us in one season. I can't wait to see what the future holds for him. He's already getting on me about a contract extension, but we've got him through arbitration until 2012, so I'm going to make sure everything pans out before paying out the nose for this kid. Odds are I'll be giving him a healthy salary soon, though.

2009 Salary: $6,844,500
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: See Lackey, John

#3: Shawn Hill, R: 12-9, 4.25 ERA
Your classic junkball pitcher. Shawn gave up more hits than innings pitched last season, but he was still able to win 12 games for us. As long as he can keep hitters guessing, I'll keep him around, but once a junkballer loses his stuff, then I might as well get out there and pitch.

2009 Salary: $3,244,800
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 90%, as long as he keeps it up.

#4: Mark Redman, L: 6-8, 5.03 ERA
This is where things start to get interesting, and by that I mean bad. Redman's the only lefty we've got in the starting rotation, and while I need a left hander, having one that gave up 24 homers and allowed batters to hit almost .300 for the season is not what I have in mind. Consider the #4 starting spot an open competition.

2009 Salary: 1,285,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: Less than 50%, especially if I can find a cheap free agent pickup or get a throw in on a trade.

#5: Clay Hensley, R: 6-14, 5.88 ERA
Ugh. If Redman was bad, Hensley was bad on steroids in 2008. Fourteen losses, an ERA nearing shoe size levels and more walks than strikeouts are not good enough, even for a fifth pitcher. Somehow, this guy is making almost $5 million. I blame Theo, and now have to do everything I can to dump this guy on someone.

2009 Salary: $4,910,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: Probably 60%, since no team in their right mind would take him, especially with this salary. He's only got a one year deal, though, so after this year, buh-bye.

Relief Pitchers

(How do you spell relief? Not with these guys!)

Middle Relief #1: Logan Kensing, R: 4-3, 5.47 ERA
I'm hoping last year was a mirage for Logan. The year before, in Washington, he had an ERA of 2.57, only for it to balloon when he got here. If that's a product of the ballpark, he's not long for this team, but I'm at least going to give him a chance, since he's cheap, and the potential is there.

2009 Salary: $405,808
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 85%

MR #2: Frank Castillo, R: 0-3, 6.63 ERA
What scares me is that he was the second best middle relief pitcher on my team in 2008. He's 39 now, and hasn't been good since Bill Clinton was in office, and even that's pushing it. Retirement should have happened already, but when it does, he won't be in a Phillies uniform.

2009 Salary: $440,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 10% (Searching for "Release Player" button...)

MR #3: Jay Witasick, R: 3-5, 1 SV, 6.56 ERA
What amazes me about Jay here was the fact he was even able to get a save last season. Another pitcher whose old as dirt already, Jay is on the fast track out of town. He walked 57 batters last season in 59 innings, and I don't think I've ever seen a WHIP as high as 2.10, but that's what his was. I'd like to state again that this bullpen sucks.

2009 Salary: $480,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 5%, or as long as it takes me to cut Castillo, then him.

MR #4: Brian Falkenberg, R: 0-1, 14.73 ERA
No, that's not a misprint. Good ole Brian actually posted an ERA larger than his shoe size last year. Of course, he did spend most of the year in the minors, and only pitched in three games with the Phillies last year, but still. He walked 5 batters and gave up 7 runs. I'm more than likely going to give him one more chance, if only because of such a small sample size and the fact that he's probably better than the two guys in front of him.

2009 Salary: $400,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 55%, but if he sucks like this again, I won't hesitate to pull the trigger.

Setup Man #1: Scott Randall, R: 6-9, 7 SV, 4.66 ERA
Well, at least this is a little better. Of course, this also shows the problem I have at the closer position, since Randall was my de facto closer for part of the year. He wasn't horrible last year, but that .282 opponent batting average scares me too much to make him the closer going into this season. He'll stick around, at least as a setup guy.

2009 Salary: $2,065,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 85%

Setup Man #2: Edwar Ramirez, R: 4-6, 4.68 ERA
The most used man out of the bullpen last year, Ramirez pitched 77 innings in relief and looked halfway decent for most of them. While a 4.68 ERA isn't great, for me, it'll do right now. I'm hoping that number comes down more towards the 3.77 ERA he put up in 2007, and I would love it if he were a lefty. Where the hell are the lefties in my bullpen??

Closer: Chris Bootcheck, R: 4-5, 24 SV, 4.37 ERA
As you can see, we had a hell of a problem deciding who our closer should be. Bootcheck won out by midseason, and didn't do a bad job, all things considered. He only gave up five home runs on the season, and his .261 opponent batting average wasn't too bad. I'm going to keep him in the closer role this season, but if he slips up, I'll be looking at the free agent crop during the offseason next year.

2009 Salary: $565,000
Odds of being a Phillie in 2009: 90%

Top Pitching Prospects: Rodrigo Olvera (Rookie), Muneyaki Takahashi (Single A)
Yep, that's about it in terms of pitching prospects. Old Theo didn't exactly leave me much to work with, did he? It's going to be interesting once my top three starters get off the mound.

[Hurkman]

I've at least got something to work with here. There are a few changes I want to make, but for the most part, I at least like what we've got in place already. That is except for the situation at first base...

Infielders

Catcher: Gregg Zaun, S/L: .279, 17 HR, 90 RBI
Gregg put up great numbers for us last year, but he's got one major problem. He's already 37, and birthday number 38 is going to hit right as the 2009 season starts. While he puts up good numbers, I have to wonder how much longer he can play behind the plate. A move to first base seems like it would be the best idea, but he's going to start the year behind the dish, just to see what he's got left.

2009 Salary: $1,040,000

Backup: Humberto Quintero, R/R: .188, 1 HR, 13 RBI
And that's why Zaun's starting at catcher still. I've got nothing else to say about that.

2009 Salary: $405,808


First Base: Lyle Overbay, L/L: .252, 8 HR, 48 RBI
Now, these wouldn't be bad numbers for a bench player. I would expect numbers like these from someone that was used as a platoon guy or a pinch hitter. The only problem is, Overbay is our starting first baseman right now, and he's getting paid over $12 million to start. There are several problems with this. First, he plays no defense. I'm talking no range, and when he gets there, if he fields the ball it's a small miracle. Second, he's Lyle freaking Overbay! It's not like I've got Jason Giambi or Ryan Howard playing for me. Ugh, just trying to figure out why we traded for this guy and this salary makes my head hurt. I'm going to try and find someone to take him, but if there's nothing out there, I'm going to have to eat his contract, since it goes for another THREE YEARS!!

2009 Salary: $12,530,000

Backup: Ryan Garko, R/R: .294, 8 HR, 37 RBI
Now see, Garko here almost puts up better numbers than Overbay, and he's making peanuts compared to him. At least we made a good deal with Arizona here, getting him for Gary Sheffield right at the trading deadline. Odds are, he's my starter at first when the season opens up.

2009 Salary: $3,340,800


Second Base: Matt Kata, S/R: .325, 17 HR, 86 RBI
Those numbers for Kata look good, don't they? Only one problem with them...those are stats from Double and Triple A last season. What makes it even worse is that this guy is literally the best option we've got at second base right now, making it a huge position of need for us in free agency. If I don't get anyone, it's going to be a long, long year.

2009 Salary: $400,000

Backup: Ronny Cedeno, R/R: .241, 7 HR, 22 RBI
Told you when I said Kata was my best option at second right now. Cendeno's our utility backup infielder, playing second, third and short. The only problem is, he's not real great at any one position, and he can't handle himself with the bat that well, either. Good news is he's young and fairly cheap, so I'm not looking to replace quite yet.

2009 Salary: $1,028,100


Third Base: Ryan Zimmerman, R/R: .294, 27 HR, 122 RBI
Like I said, things aren't all bad. Zimmerman led the team in damn near every offensive category last year, and the best part is he's only 24 years old. I'm going to try and lock him into a long term deal during the season, since I really, really don't want to lose this guy. We've had a hole at third ever since Chipper Jones left in 1995, and if anyone thinks that Zimmerman's out of here after his arbitration years, they're out of their minds.

2009 Salary: $4,626,720


Shortstop: D'Angelo Jimenez, S/R: .294, 14 HR, 67 RBI
This is the guy that's going to be taking over for José Reyes at short. Jimenez was our starting second baseman last season, but he plays a capable shortstop too, so I'll put him there and look for another second baseman. He's not a bad offensive bat, and will fit well into the bottom third of the lineup. He strikes out a bit more then I'd like, but I can't really complain about a servicable player like him.

2009 Salary: $3,095,000


Outfielders

Left Field: Lastings Milledge, R/R: .296, 12 HR, 63 RBI
With a name like Lastings, what isn't to like? Seriously, despite his horrible attitude, the kid can play ball, and I'm glad we've got him in the outfield. He's only 23 years old, and it looks like he can only get better from here. Not only that, he's got an above average glove, so I don't have to worry about losing any games on balls hit into left. If he can just get his head on straight, we should have one hell of a player.

2009 Salary: $405,808

Backup: Jorge Piedra, L/L: .167, 0 HR, 3 RBI
Those are not good numbers. Not only that, those numbers are from Triple A, which means I am in the market for a servicable backup left fielder. I sure hope Lastings can stay healthy, or else things are going to go downhill, and quick. Not only that, but for right now, Jorge's our backup right fielder too! Must...shop...free...agent...market...

2009 Salary: $400,000

Center Field: Tony Gwynn, Jr., L/R: .309, 11 HR, 56 RBI, 57 SB
While Tony Gwynn had to end a promising career far too soon thanks to injury, his kid certainly looks like he's picking up the slack so far. Gwynn, Jr is the prototypical leadoff hitter, and he's even got a little power in that bat of his too. I just hope he can keep getting on base and scoring runs, because he's taking Reyes' spot at the top of the lineup.

2009 Salary: $405,808

Backup: Wilkin Ruan, R/R: .231, 0 HR, 5 RBI
Again, those are bad minor league numbers. I don't know what he's doing up with the team, but I certainly didn't want him up here. He'll be back down in the minors before Spring Training, but I might as well humor him until I find a better backup.

2009 Salary: $400,000


Right Field: Delmon Young, R/R: .326, 13 HR, 78 RBI
Aside from Ryan Zimmerman, I trust Delmon more than anyone else to keep our offense moving. He was tops on the team in batting this past season, and is still very young, just like the rest of the outfield. The only problem with him is that he's going to want money, just like Milledge and Gwynn, but I doubt I can afford to pay all three of them at once. I know one thing: good hitting, slick fielding right fielders aren't that common, so this guy is going to stick around until I get told to let him go.

2009 Salary: $405,808


Top Prospects: Justin Knoedler, C (AAA), Lou Daniels, SS (A), Francisco Lucero, RF (AA), Arturo Lopez, LF (A)
I've at least got something to work with, offensively in terms of prospects. I just hope a few of these guys can achieve what they look like they can. If they do, then I might be in better shape than I am now.

Injured Players: Adam Jones, R/R, CF: .333, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Adam was doing fine as a backup outfielder last season before he injured his neck. No one's quite sure what he did, actually, so he's going to be out probably until the middle of the season, at least. I hope he can come back, because he's another good young player, and I'd love to at least have him on the bench. If it doesn't look good though, I won't hesitate to give the kid his walking papers.

[Hurkman]

December 8, 2008

First Week in Office for Hurka Leads to Big Changes for Phils

Phillies fans couldn't believe what they had heard.

In just his first week as general manager, David Hurka had already started what most believed would be at least a two year project in making the Phillies a contender. Lyle Overbay and his horribly overpaid salary? Gone, shipped off to Tampa in a move that surprised many at how quick it happened and what the Phillies were able to get back. Those problems in the bullpen? Not gone yet, but two of the biggest headaches, Frank Castillo and Jay Witasick were put on waivers, essentially ending their time as Phils.

"I'd like to think that we're taking steps forward to improve the team," Hurka said at the press conference where the trade was announced. "Lyle Overbay helped us out last year, but feel that we're headed in a different direction. We wish him nothing but the best in Tampa, and are thrilled to welcome Josh Johnson and Jared Burton to the Phillies."

While the trade was the only deal that got done for the Phillies this past week, there are also rumors circling around Citizens Bank Park that Hurka might be angling for one of the big free agent second basemen that are on the market. Two names that have been thrown out there so far are Chase Utley and Kelly Johnson. Hurka had no comment on the situation when he was asked, but Philadelphia fans can only hope that this new GM can bring in a big bat and possibly a playoff birth, this season.


Great, this is just what I wanted. I get a week into my time here, and now I can walk on water? I can't wait to see what happens when we hit our first losing streak!

I took a deep breath and relaxed as I leaned back in my nice new office chair. It certainly had been an interesting first week, and it started with Lyle Overbay. I made it very clear to anyone that would listen that I wanted him out of Philly, and I then made it clear to him after talking with him privately on my first night here. He wasn't exactly thrilled, but when I told him the best bet was probably the 102 win Tampa Bay Rays, his mood improved. Of course, to make the deal happen, I had to throw in Wilkin Ruan and almost a million bucks, but I got a fourth pitcher and a good reliever out of it.

Josh Johnson went 10-5 last year in Tampa, and he's another junk ball pitcher. I wasn't worried about him striking guys out, but at least he's better than Redman or Henlsey. Of course, the real piece in the deal was getting Jared Burton from the Rays. I personally think he's got a hell of a lot of skill, and his 4.24 ERA and .262 opposing batting average last season seem to lean in my direction. There's room for improvement, sure, but compared to what I had out there, this guy's a stud.

That's not even the best news of the week. I put Frank Castillo and Jay Witasick on waivers, and they both got claimed by more than one team! I don't care which team takes them, but now I don't have to pay to release them, and they're both out of my hair. It gives me a little more money to play around with in free agency. I don't know who told the papers we were going after Utley, but damn if they weren't right. I've always loved the way Chase played, and if I could see him in a Phillies uniform next season, I'd be very, very happy. I've got a few other deals out there, too, but I guess they're not as important as potentially signing a four time all star.

Now, I've just got to get that deal done. Nothing worse than leading Philadelphia fans on. Oh boy, I don't want to go down that road...

[Hurkman]

December 23, 2008

Christmas Comes Early for Phils as they Win Chase for Utley

It was the moment Philadelphia fans had been waiting for. For years, the Phillies had been on the sidelines during free agency, watching as other teams snatched up the best players on the market.

That time is over. As of 3:00 this afternoon, Chase Utley, possibly the top free agent on the market, signed a five year deal worth just over $82 million. Utley, whose 2008 season was limited by a foot injury, still managed to bat .304 with 11 home runs and 43 RBI. General manager David Hurka believes that Utley brings a force into the Philadelphia lineup that was not there before.

"We're thrilled to have Chase as a member of the Phillies," he said during the introductory press conference. "His power is second to none among second basemen, and his defense is stellar as well. Not only that, but he's a proven winner, as he's helped take both Toronto and Arizona to the playoffs. We can't wait to see Chase on the field this spring."

Utley was also excited about the future of the Phillies.

"I signed here because I believe this is a team that's going places, and I want to be a part of it," he said. "I always loved coming to Philadelphia to play, and now that I'm going to be playing here all the time, it's going to be amazing. The fans here are great, and I'm going to do all that I can to bring them a championship."

For his career, Utley is a .309 hitter, with almost 1,500 hits and 251 home runs. As long as his foot is completely healed, he'll be an imposing sight for opposing pitchers for at least the next five seasons.



Chase Utley greets some Phillies fans after his first official Philadelphia press conference.



Merry Christmas, Philadelphia.

There was no sighing now, no throwing of the newspaper on the pile today. Instead, I think I earned a little bit of congratulations, at least from myself. I wanted to make a play for Utley, but did I ever think we would sign him? Not really, not with the money that he wanted. Yeah, I low-balled him, just threw a number out there that was well below what his agent was supposedly asking for. For some reason, no other team offered him what he wanted to hear, and just two days ago, my phone rang. It was Chase, he wanted to sign the contract. He was going to be a Phillie.

I still haven't quite gotten down off my cloud yet. I know this job is supposed to be tough, and lord knows it will be soon, but so far, this is the best job on the planet. I just put Chase Utley and Ryan Zimmerman in the same lineup. Go ahead, pick your poison. Of course, there's still the issue about Chase's foot, which he broke last year after fouling a pitch off it. He missed almost three months, but he cleared his physical, so he should be good to go. I just hope he's worth all this money I'm giving him. If he turns out to be another Lyle Overbay, I'll never hear the end of it.

The papers just skimmed over a few other deals I made, but I think they're just as important as landing Chase. I managed to bolster our outfield depth, signing Garret Anderson and Timo Perez to cheap contracts. Anderson hit .294 last season as a backup for the Giants, while Perez struggled with the Padres, hitting just .213. I didn't sign Perez for his bat, though. I signed him for his glove, which he'll be using as a backup and defensive replacement in the outfield. Anderson will be a decent bat off the bench, and should provide some veteran leadership if all goes well.

Sorry, I'm still floating a little bit. I've even got WIP talking about us in December. Damn Angelo Cataldi thinks that the Eagles announcing they're cutting Donovan McNabb is better news than this signing. Oh well, I guess I can't win 'em all.

Not yet, anyway.

[Hurkman]

January 27, 2009

Phillies finish bullpen puzzle; add two arms

Last year, the Phillies finished the season with a bullpen ERA of 5.27, which ranked 13th in the National League. This coming season should be very different, as the Phillies introduced two new relief pitchers who they hope can fix the problems the bullpen had last season.

"We are very pleased to welcome John Bale and Joakim Soria to the Phillies," general manager David Hurka said today at the introductory press conference. "Both these guys were solid pitchers last year, and we're thrilled to bring them into the Philadelphia family."

Last season, Bale went 8-1 with two saves and a 4.90 ERA for Kansas City, while Soria saved 36 games in the closer role for the Tampa Bay Rays.

"I'm happy to be a Phillie," Bale said. "I'm looking at this team, and I can tell that they are going places very quickly. I'm ready to be a part of that."

Soria also added his own encouraging words today, saying that the Phillies are clearly a team on the rise, and that he hopes his playoff experience in Tampa can carry over to Philadelphia.

"I may be young, but I know that I can help this team," Soria said. "I just can't wait for Spring Training to get here, so I can show everyone in the National League what I've got."

For now anyway, this seems to solve the puzzle of the Phillie bullpen. Last year, it was plagued by blown leads late in ball games and pitchers not being able to get out of key spots. Now, with two solid arms in the back end of the 'pen, the expectations are going to be through the roof.

It's up to the new players whether or not they can actually reach those expectations.


I was afraid this was going to happen.

It wasn't that I wasn't happy about bringing in two good pitchers to help bolster the bullpen. It was the fact that now, just about everybody and their brother in Philadelphia was expecting us to bring home a championship this year. I feel confident that we can make the playoffs, but we still might be a year or two off from the World Series. Of course, I'm not going to tell anyone that, but it's still going to be in the back of my head for a while.

Of course, I'm not downplaying signing Bale and Soria by any means. Bale actually came into the fold first, but with Soria basically telling me he was going to sign a few days later, I decided to hold off on spreading the news around until the ink was dry on both deals. If you're basing things strictly on records, then Bale was a great signing. He went 8-1 last year in Kansas City, and I managed to bring him in for three mil a year for the next two seasons. There are a few things that concern me about him, like his ERA rising the past two seasons, but then again, the Royals have gotten worse the past two seasons, too. I've got to keep an eye on that still, though.

As for Soria, that young man is my new closer, no questions asked. He's just 24 years old, and he made his way up through the Colorado system before heading to Tampa two years ago. Even in Colorado, he only gave up six home runs his last year there as a closer, and last year, he helped get the Rays all the way to the World Series. You can't ask for more than that from a youngster. Of course, Bootcheck wasn't thrilled when I told him he was being moved in the bullpen. I also told him we would try and move him, to see if any other team wanted him as a closer, but so far, the lines haven't been ringing.

I think I'm starting to scare some of the other GMs. Sometimes, fear can be a good thing, and since I'm done making moves in free agency, it's not too bad right now. I'm just going to sit back and see if that phone rings once or twice. If not, it's just time to sit back and wait for Spring Training to start. It's not that much longer until pitchers and catchers report, and then the real game begins.

I just hope we don't crash and burn on takeoff.

[Hurkman]

2009 American League Preview: East

With the start of Spring Training just days away, Sports Illustrated is here with your Major League Baseball preview! We'll be starting in the American League East, home to the defending AL Champion Tampa Bay Rays.

Baltimore Orioles

2008 Record: 83-79, 4th, AL East

Key Additions: Jose Reyes-SS, Javier Valentin-C, Adam Lind-LF, Ron Belliard-3B

Key Losses: Ehren Wassermann-CL, Tomo Ohka-SP, Fred Lewis-LF, Mike Rabelo-C

Despite finishing over .500 last season, the Orioles still could not break through in the AL East, finishing a disappointing fourth. This season, Baltimore is hoping that their offseason moves will be enough to push them through the three team block of Tampa Bay, Boston and Toronto. Overall, their pitching is solid, with 17 game winner Joe Blanton leading the way. Behind him are four solid, if unspectacular, pitchers. Dontrelle Willis is hoping he can regain his form from a few seasons ago, while the bullpen is mostly young, but has a chance to come together as a group an improve on last season. Mariano Rivera regains the closer role he lost last season to Ehren Wassermann, and the Orioles are hoping that he can reach his 500th save early in the season.

The offense is now greatly improved with the addition of Jose Reyes to the top of the lineup. Reyes brings speed unmatched in the majors to Baltimore, as well as solid defense on top of that. The offense also brings back the bats of Joe Mauer (.357, 28-129), Mike Lowell (.296, 27-115) and Luis Gonzalez (.325, 12-102), as well as the addition of Javier Valentin behind the plate. There are few weak spots in the lineup, but the Orioles will need to attempt to patch holes in the outfield if they really want to contend.

Prognosis: Baltimore will once again struggle to get out of the shadow of the top teams in the East. They should be better than last season, but it won't be enough to pass all three teams in front of them.

Prediction: 3rd Place, AL East


Boston Red Sox

2008 Record: 91-71, 2nd, AL East, Lost to Chicago, 3-1, ALDS

Key Additions: Russell Martin-C, Ehren Wassermann-CL

Key Losses: Michael Barrett-C, Keith Foulke-MR, Casey Blake-3B

After making the playoffs in 2008, the Boston Red Sox decided that less was more during the offseason, and surprisingly remained very quiet. However, with the team they have already in place, most fans are arguing that there was very little that actually needed to be done. For instance, the pitching staff is one of the best in the league, even if it is a little old. After coming to Boston in 2002, Pedro Martinez quickly found himself in the role of ace, and he's yet to give it up. A 17 game winner last season, Pedro just signed a three year extension in the offseason that will keep him in Boston until he's 40. Backing him up is a trio of double digit game winners from a year ago. Ian Snell, Kevin Millwood and Mike Mussina make facing the Sox on any day a difficult task. Meanwhile, the Boston bullpen is strong as well. Closer Andrew Brown is looking to improve on his 40 save season from last year, while Wes Littleton leads a strong group of middle relief pitchers.

On the other side of the coin, the Boston offense likes to punish pitchers for poorly thrown balls across the plate. Returning are sluggers Carlos Pena (.283, 41-140), Jack Cust (.250, 35-86) and Curtis Granderson (.274, 22-100). Joining them this season is 26 year old catcher Russell Martin, who was brought over from the White Sox. Martin, who hit .324 with 22 home runs of his own last season, brings an instant improvement behind the plate to the Red Sox, and helps solidify one of the best lineups in baseball. The left side of the Boston infield is a little shaky, but knowing Boston, they'll be able to find what they need.

Prognosis: An already sound playoff team got even better during the winter with the addition of Russell Martin. Will it be enough to catch Tampa? No one is sure now, but not many people are betting against Boston to end the Rays' streak on top of the division.

Prediction: 1st Place, AL East


New York Yankees

2008 Record: 65-97, 5th, AL East

Key Additions: Ben Molina-C, Jose Valverde-MR, J.D. Durbin-SP, Joey Gathright-CF

Key Losses: Emil Brown-LF, Geoff Jenkins-RF, Brady Clark-CF

One thing is certain: the championship glory of the early 2000 New York Yankees is long gone. In its wake is now an old team that appears to still be going nowhere, fast. Their pitching staff is a mess, with potential number one starter Yovani Gallardo coming off a 19 loss season last year. J.D. Durbin, who came over in a trade with Seattle, played well last season, but only started 11 games. Somehow, the Yankees managed to have two 19 game losers last year, with Andy Sonnanstine joining Gallardo with a 12-19 record. The only bright spot is 23 year old Rick VandenHurk, who went 11-10 last season and looks to be a potential number one starter down the road. The bullpen is a mess, with only Heath Bell looking the least bit promising. A trade with Florida brought in Jose Valverde, and the Yankees have to hope he can keep up with his performance from last season.

The offense is more of the same. Ken Griffey, Jr. might be one of the best players, but in his time in New York, he's yet to hit above .285 or drive in 100 runs. Eric Chavez (.264, 36-119) did drive in 100 runs, but he was the only player on the team to do so. There is also a lack of speed on the basepaths, as no one expects players like Nick Johnson or Ruben Gotay to tear up the bases. In fact, their leading base stealer last season swiped only 14 bases, and was caught 10 other times. The addition of Joey Gathright gives the team a little more speed, but there are too many other problems right now to just focus on that.

Prognosis: The Yankees went from a three time defending champion at the start of this decade to one of the worst teams in baseball by the end of it. The fans aren't going to take much more of it, but with the group they're starting this season out with, it looks like it's going to be more of the same, at least for this season, anyway.

Prediction: 5th Place, AL East


Tampa Bay Rays

2008 Record: 100-62, 1st, AL East, Defeated Texas, 3-0, ALDS, Defeated Chicago, 4-3, ALCS, Lost to Los Angeles, 4-3, World Series

Key Additions: Jason Bergmann-SP, Lyle Overbay-1B

Key Losses: Joakim Soria-CL, Josh Johnson-SP, Corey Patterson-CF, Scott Williamson-MR

After finishing one win shy of their second World Series win this decade, the Tampa Bay Rays sat back during the winter and decided that the best way to defend their American League title was to play with what they had. While that strategy has worked before, this year, it might backfire, though it certainly won't be because of the pitching. Francisco Liriano, at just 25 years of age, has already established himself as one of the top pitchers in baseball. His 16-5 record last year paced the Rays, and he's ready to do more of the same this season. Behind him, Jason Bergmann, Doug Davis, Buddy Carlyle and Brian Bannister make up a solid group of pitchers. The loss of Joakim Soria to Philadelphia hurts Tampa's bullpen, and Peter Moylan is being asked to fill Soria's shoes. Moylan has never closed before, but the Rays are hoping that he can do as well as Soria did last season. The rest of the bullpen is strong, with only C.J. Wilson and Boof Bonser being question marks.

The lineup contains several big bats that are ready to get the Rays back to the World Series. Leading that list is Adrian Gonzalez, who last season hit .367 with 39 home runs and 129 RBI. Backing him up will be Hideki Matsui (.331, 48-141), Ryan Doumit (.306, 28-109) and Ben Francisco (.305, 25-95). The rest of the lineup is also solid, with new addition Lyle Overbay ready to forget his time in Philadelphia and start new in Tampa. Luis Castillo provides speed at the top of the lineup, while Elijah Dukes is growing into a spot in the outfield.

Prognosis: The Rays made a great run last season, but they may have lost too much to go deep into the playoffs again this year. With Boston adding new players, and Joakim Soria and Scott Williamson trading in their uniforms, the Rays might be looking up at a team come October. They still should be competing for a playoff spot late in the season, however.

Prediction: 2nd Place, AL East


Toronto Blue Jays

2008 Record: 86-76, 3rd, AL East

Key Additions: Nick Swisher-CF, Jhonny Peralta-3B, Robinson Cano-2B

Key Losses: Chase Utley-2B, Juan Cruz-SP

"Close, but no cigar." That's what Blue Jay fans are getting tired of hearing about their team in recent seasons. After back to back playoff trips, everything seemed to be in place last season for a deep run, but Toronto was unable to take advantage, finishing a disappointing third. This year, the Blue Jays are recharged and ready to go, but the question is whether or not they can get past the two teams that finished ahead of them last year. Pitching-wise, Toronto can hang with almost any team in the league. Fausto Carmona and Cole Hamels provide an excellent 1-2 punch, while the ageless Curt Schilling provides a veteran voice deep in the rotation. The main question for Toronto is their bullpen, which struggled at key times last season. If Edgar Gonzalez, Scott Olsen and Dan Wheeler can put 2008 behind them, they should have good seasons in 2009.

While the Jays did lose Chase Utley this offseason, it doesn't appear as if they'll miss him that much at the plate. Newcomer Robinson Cano was signed to replace Utley, and his .314 average, along with 15 home runs and 62 RBI should make fans forget about Chase much quicker than originally expected. Other new additions Johnny Peralta and Nick Swisher put solid players at shortstop and center field, while remaining players from last year include Mark Teixeria (.324, 39 HR, 131 RBI), Justin Morneau (.316, 42-147) and Josh Willingham (.262, 26-121). Even Mike Napoli and Wilso Betemit are solid players, giving Toronto a great all around lineup.

Prognosis: It wouldn't surprise anyone if the Blue Jays managed to get into the playoffs this season, but with the questions they have in the bullpen, it's going to be difficult. With the offense they have, however, Carmona and Hamels each have a chance to win 20 games, and if both do that, it's going to be tough not to have the Blue Jays back in the postseason again. Either way, they should battle well into the final weeks of the season with Boston and Tampa Bay for a playoff spot.

Prediction: 3rd Place, AL East

[Hurkman]

2009 American League Preview: Central

Sports Illustrated's look around the American League continues with the Central, where the Chicago White Sox are hoping their two year run at the top will continue this season.

Chicago White Sox

2008 Record: 93-69, 1st, AL Central, Defeated Boston, 3-1, ALDS, Lost to Tampa Bay, 4-3, ALCS

Key Additions: Paul Lo Duca-C, Adam LaRoche-1B, Kelly Johnson-2B, Shawn Green-RF

Key Losses: Travis Hafner-1B/DH, Jake Peavy-SP, Ryan Langerhans-LF, Russell Martin-C, Kyle Farnsworth-MR, Carlos Guillen-SS

No team that made the playoffs last season went through as many changes as the Chicago White Sox. Gone are familiar faces Travis Hafner, Jake Peavy and Russell Martin. In their places are new arrivals Adam LaRoche, Kelly Johnson and Paul La Duca. Without Peavy, the Chicago pitching staff no longer has the same intimidation factor that it once possessed. Fortunately for them, Kelvim Escobar won 18 games last season behind Peavy, and number two starter Adam Wainwright went 14-10 with a 4.61 ERA. After that, however, things get a little dicey. The other three starters failed to win ten games last season, and none had an ERA lower than 5.00. In the bullpen, Rafael Perez is an excellent closer, saving 38 games last season, while Elmer Dessens, Brandon Morrow and Davis Romero all did a solid job in getting the game to him.

The bigger change is on offense, where three starters from last season have been replaced. Adam LaRoche (.295, 22-111) is being counted on to fill the shoes of Travis Hafner, while Carlos Guillen and Russell Martin's spots have been filled by Jimmy Rollins and Paul Lo Duca. Even at 36, Lo Duca is still a capable catcher, and Rollins played well last season when Guillen spent time at first base. The big free agent pickup was second baseman Kelly Johnson. Johnson, who hit .306 with 25 home runs and 102 RBI last season for the cross-town Cubs, will fill a large hole at second base that existed even before last season. Aside from those players, Hank Blalock provides a proven bat at the DH spot, and Vernon Wells is a solid player in left field. Other than that, they have a few questions.

Prognosis: The good thing for the White Sox is that they were able to fill most of the holes that were made during the offseason. The only position they failed to address was at starting pitcher, but they must believe that what they have going into the season will work. If everything holds up, it shouldn't be too hard for Chicago to hold on to the top of a very weak AL Central.

Prediction: 1st Place, AL Central


Cleveland Indians

2008 Record: 82-80, 2nd, AL Central

Key Additions: Jose Cruz, Jr.-LF, Geovany Soto-C, Kendry Morales-1B, Josh Anderson-CF, Casey Blake-3B, Scott Shields-MR

Key Losses: Adam LaRoche-1B, Matt Holliday-OF, Billy Wagner-CL, Tony Graffanino-2B, Bobby Howry-MR

The Cleveland Indians may have finished second in the American League Central last season, but it was a weak second in a weak division. It appears now that the team that made the playoffs in 2006 and 2007 is long gone, replaced with a team that now seems content with just floating along the .500 level. The pitching is the major question mark that the Indians have. Aside from the solid level of play from Zack Greinke and Gil Meche, there is very little to be excited about in the starting rotation. No other starter won more than 9 games last season, and the ERAs of those other three pitchers started to approach their shoe sizes. In the bullpen, Hutson Street and Johnathan Papelbon split time at closer with Billy Wagner, but with Wagner gone, it now appears as if Street will start the season as the closer. Papelbon, as well as Johnathan Sanchez and free agent pickup Scott Shields form a solid bridge from the sixth to the ninth inning, as long as their pitchers can get them there.

On offense, it seems as if the signings the Indians were essentially made to fill holes that didn't need to be filled. Rather than attempt to fill the hole that Matt Holliday left at right field, the Indians instead signed Geovany Soto to start over Ramon Castro, who hit .323 with 21 home runs and 92 RBI last season. Third baseman Casey Blake provides a good bat and a veteran presence, but Cleveland already has Adrian Beltre at third, where he hit .319 with a team leading 37 homers and 116 RBI last year. Neither player seems willing to move, or DH, so it appears that the Indians may have to move one of them out of Cleveland. Aside from the log jams at certain positions, the Indians have the bats to play with any team in the division. Aside from Beltre and Castro, three other players had more than 15 home runs, and four players had over 55 RBI. As long as the team can gel, there is a chance for improvement.

Prognosis: This team has all the makings of an average team for at least a few more years. An average starting rotation, along with questions in the lineup pretty much ensure that they will not catch the White Sox this season. Maybe if they get good performances from their last three starters, they can stay in second place, but that seems unlikely right now.

Prediction: 3rd Place, AL Central


Detroit Tigers

2008 Record: 73-89, 5th, AL Central

Key Additions: Marcus Thames-RF, Bill Bray-MR, Tomo Ohka-SP

Key Losses: Aaron Rowand-CF, J.D. Drew-RF

Ever since making the playoffs in 2005, the Tigers have been going nowhere but down, and this year doesn't look like it's going to be any different. The moves they made in the offseason are not enough, while the players that they lost leave gaping holes in their outfield. Of course, their pitching isn't exactly intimidating, either. Chien-Ming Wang has been in a funk for the last two seasons, especially last year's 12-14 record. Behind him, there's a whole lot of nothing. Kyle Kendrick and his 3-13 record are not good enough for a number five pitcher, let alone a number two, and new addition Tomo Ohka wasn't exactly highly sought after on the free agent market. Their bullpen has more questions than a math book. Ryan Rowland-Smith is going to start the year as the team's closer, but how many games he gets to save will depend on how his shaky bullpen pitches. Most nights, expect to see him on the bench.

On offense, it's simple in Detroit: there's David Ortiz, and then there's everyone else. Last season, Ortiz did what he always does, and hit .360 with 43 homers and 152 RBI. The only problem with that is that his defense is horrific, so he's next to useless during interleague games, or if an injury strikes starting first baseman Russ Adams. Milton Bradley is servicable in left field, but after that, there are several questions. Chris Snyder hit below .200 last year, but he's still Detroit's starting catcher. Ben Zobrist and Karim Garcia didn't do much better, and they're starting, too.

Prognosis: There are not many teams with as many questions as the Tigers. Wang makes for a potential solid pitcher, and David Ortiz is a great bat, but that's about it. Unless this team makes a lot of changes very quickly, it's going to be a long time before Detroit is competitive once again.

Prediction: 5th Place, AL Central


Kansas City Royals

2008 Record: 77-85, 4th, AL Central

Key Additions: Alex Escobar-CF, Rich Thompson-MR, Paul Byrd-SP, Scott McRae-MR, Matt LeCroy-C, Braden Looper-SP, Jeff Kent-2B, Kyle Farnsworth-MR

Key Losses: Jason Kendall-C, Rob Nen-CL, Jim Edmonds-CF, Junior Spivey-1B, Juan Encarnation-RF, John Bale-MR, Ismael Valdez-SP

One look at the moves that the Kansas City Royals made during the offseason, and your first reaction is probably surprise at the total number of deals that were made. However, much like the Detroit Tigers, most of the moves that were made are more of a patch than a filling of a hole, and their still one-dimensional offense needs another shot in the arm before they can compete again.

The Kansas City pitching staff is solid, at least in the rotation. Diasuke Matsuzaka and his 16-9 record return as the team ace, and Tim Hudson backs him up with his 14-13 record from a year ago. Felix Hernandez is still very young, and is hoping his 8-13 record last year was just part of a sophomore slump from his 14-6 rookie campaign. Free agent signings Paul Byrd and Braden Looper round out the rotation, and provide veteran leadership at the back end of the pitching staff. In the bullpen, it's another pair of new additions in Kyle Farnsworth and Scott McRae, that are being looked at to make a huge difference. Farnsworth has been placed in as the closer, while McRae is the number one setup man. Incumbant relievers Jon Rauch, Brandon McCarthy and Phil Norton round out the solid part of the bullpen.

In the batting order, there are two options...Alex Rodriguez, or nothing. After signing a four year deal with Kansas City last season, A-Rod lived up to the hype, hitting .294 with 43 home runs and 130 RBI. However, aside from Ben Broussard (.326, 15-91), there was very little in terms of offense last season. The Royals tried to address that in signing Jeff Kent (.301, 19-104), but at age 41, it's unclear how much more he has left to contribute. Other than that, there is very little to get excited about.

Prognosis: There is a chance that the Royals could surprise people and compete for a Wild Card spot. However, for that to happen, they will need a solid effort from the back end of their rotation, as well as an offensive assault from someone not named Alex Rodriguez. Without these things happening, it looks like another season right around .500 for the Royals.

Prediction: 4th Place, AL Central


Minnesota Twins

2008 Record: 81-81, 3rd, AL Central

Key Additions: None

Key Losses: Robinson Cano-2B, Victor Diaz-RF, Erick Almonte-SS, Josh Towers-SP

On paper, it looks like the Minnesota Twins would be heading for a fall to the bottom of the division after an offseason that saw them sign no new players and lose a 17 game winner in Josh Towers. However, even with the losses of Towers and Robinson Cano, the Twins still have a solid layer of players in place that can more than likely help them improve on their .500 record from last season.

Three double digit winners make the Minnesota pitching staff one of the more underrated in the majors. Ben Sheets leads the trio of stars, which also includes Tom Gorzelanny and Tony McKnight. The Twins just have to hope that Clay Buchholz rebounds from an 18 loss season last year and Brian Lawrence can at least attempt to replace Towers' spot in the rotation. Closer Matt Thornton shut the door on 35 games last season, and Minnesota is hoping he can do more of the same this year. The rest of the bullpen has some weaknesses, with newcomers Sean Gallagher, J.A. Happ and Jimmy Johnson hoping that their ability can overshadow their young age.

The Minnesota offense is based on balance, rather than raw power. Six starters this year hit over .260 last season, with Matt Diaz leading the way at .301. Diaz also took the lead when it came to home runs, leading the team with 20 and being one of six players with double digit homers. On the same coin, five players drove in 80 or more RBI, including Brian McCann, Chris Shelton, Luke Scott, Greg Dobbs and Matt Diaz. Center fielder Andruw Jones is no longer the player that he once was, but his bat still has some pop in it, while third baseman Mike Hessman is going to have to pick up his play to keep the Twins shopping for a new third baseman.

Prognosis: One of the last remaining franchises to have a true "team" mentallity, the Twins have more spots where they are complete than holes. The only problem is those holes have the potential to swallow up the Twins, and if that happens, Minnesota won't even be close to sniffing the playoffs. If everything clicks like the Twins are hoping it will, however, it could be a surprising season for Minnesota.

Prediction: 2nd Place, AL Central

[Hurkman]

2009 American League Preview: West

We take a look now at the most unpredictable of divisions in possibly all of Major League Baseball. Over the past four seasons, three different teams have come out of the AL West as champion, and two of them have won the World Series. Not only that, but three teams tied for second place last season. While no one knows whats going to happen this year, most are sure it's going to be a fun ride.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

2008 Record: 72-90, T-2nd, AL West

Key Additions: Kaz Ishii-SP, Chipper Jones-3B, Bobby Howry-MR, Khalil Greene-SS, Dioner Navarro-C

Key Losses: Carlos Lee-LF, Jason LaRue-C, Rich Aurilia-SS, Alex Rios-RF, Kendry Morales-1B

The L.A. Angels were one of those three teams to win the AL West in the last four seasons, and they also won the World Series back in 2006. Since then, however, they've had two straight seasons under .500 as their key players on offense have shown signs of age. Of course, the Angels still also have to rely on their pitching staff, which has talent, but sometimes fails to show it. Although they had three pitchers win 10 or more games last season, staff ace Justin Verlander was horrific, going 6-17 with an ERA over 6.00 last year. The Angels are hoping that he can get back to form and join Carlos Zambrano, Chris Sampson and Chad Billingsley as 10 game winners this season. Veteran free agent pickup Kaz Ishii provides leadership and a lefthanded starting pitcher. In the bullpen, Orber Moreno was given the closer's job over Joel Zumaya, and Los Angeles hopes he can keep up with his 2.94 ERA from a year ago. Aside from Zumaya, the Angels also have new addition Bobby Howry, as well as holdovers Chad Qualls and John Riedling to help hold down any lead the rotation may hand over.

On offense, the lineup is jokingly refered to as the "Over the Hill Gang." Six starters are over 30 years old, with starting shortstop Royce Clayton leading the way at age 39. Free agent signee Chipper Jones adds a still potent bat to the lineup, and will provide protection for Jim Thome and Carlos Beltran, both of whom struggled last season. Left fielder Rob Mackowiak is looking to build on a solid season last year, while promising youngster Alex Gordon is hoping he can bounce back from a disappointing 2008.

Prognosis: The Angels are a team in a state of flux. They have the talent in their rotation to go a long way, but many of their offensive weapons are on the wrong side of 30, and aren't getting any younger. If Los Angeles wants to win this season, they're going to have to hope for bounce back years first from Justin Verlander, and then from much of the offense. The addition of Chipper Jones will provide a spark, but it won't be enough for the Angels this season.

Prediction: 2nd Place, AL West


Oakland Athletics

2008 Record: 72-90, T-2nd, AL West

Key Additions: Eric Munson-C, James Hoey-MR, Robb Quinlan-3B

Key Losses: Garret Anderson-LF, Jonathan Broxton-CL

During the 1990s, the Oakland Athletics were the team to beat in the AL West. Seven times they won the division during the decade, including a World Series win in 1990. However, since another World Series championship in 2002, the Athletics have been on a slipperly slope down to the bottom of the division they once ruled.

If the Athletics are going to make their way to the top again this season, it will more than likely be on the arms of their solid starting rotation. C.C. Sabathia, Branden Webb and Aaron Harang make an excellent 1-2-3 punch, while fourth starter Casey Fossum would be at least a number two guy on almost any other team in the majors. Jair Jurrjens may be young, but he won 11 games in 2007 before an injury plagued 2008, and he's looking to bounce back as well. Once the bullpen comes into play, however, things get interesting. New addition James Hoey is the best setup man Oakland has, while Matt Wise will attempt to fill the shoes of departed closer Jonathan Broxton, who left for rival San Francsico.

Meanwhile, the offense is bothered with inconsistant players. Only Jason Kubel drove in over 100 RBI last season, and just he and catcher Dave Ross hit over 20 home runs. Doug Mientkiewicz and Jody Gerut are not the best third and fourth options a team could have in their lineup, while Eric Valent belongs nowhere near a major league dugout, yet he's starting for Oakland. The team does have speed, thanks to Willy Taveras and Alexi Castilla, but the two rarely get on base at the best possible time to use it. The best thing the lineup has going for it is age, as only three starters are over the age of 30.

Prognosis: With a pitching staff like that, you would think that Oakland would be able to compete this season for a playoff spot, but with an inconsistant bullpen and power short batting order, it doesn't look like the Athletics are going to be anything but average this year. Afterall, there's only so many 2-1 games a team can lose, right?

Prediction: 3rd Place, AL West


Seattle Mariners

2008 Record: 72-90, T-2nd, AL West

Key Additions: Fred Lewis-LF, Angel Pagan-RF, Aaron Guiel-RF, Adam Kennedy-2B, Jake Peavy-SP, Jeff Baker-RF, Jason LaRue-C, Christian Guzman-SS

Key Losses: David Dellucci-LF, J.D. Durbin-SP, Juan Pierre-CF, Julio Lugo-SS, Randy Winn-RF, Alex Sanchez-RF

The Seattle Mariners were one of the big winners in free agency, landing pitcher Jake Peavy in January. However, much like the other two teams that tied for second last year in the AL West, inconsistant play from just about everywhere else is still looming over them, even with the addition of one of the best pitchers in all of baseball.

Aside from Peavy, Javier Vazquez is the only other salvagable starting pitcher for the Mariners. Chris George lost 17 games last year, while Rolando Arrojo allowed opponents to bat .339 against him for the season. Fifth starter Josh Hall is a relative newcomer in that he only started one game last season, and gave up six runs in just four and two thirds innings. Joba Chamberlain is a breath of fresh air at closer, though other than Peavy and Vazquez starts, it's unlikely that he'll get many save chances. The rest of the bullpen is scary, with just four pitchers getting major time last season, and only Glen Perkins having a decent season. Right now, Seattle's pitching staff is a mess, to put it nicely.

Things aren't much better on offense, where their two best options are either a 37 year old Ryan Kelsko, or Ryan Braun, who is coming off a horrific ankle injury that cost him all of 2007. Catcher Victor Martinez, who paced the team with 21 home runs last season, is starting this year on the bench, replaced by Jason LaRue. Needless to say, Martinez is not happy with the situation, and he shouldn't be, as he was the best offensive player for the Mariners last season. Michael Bourn and new addition Christian Guzman provide the speed for Seattle, but there are very few players who can drive them home, even when they steal bases.

Prognosis: Aside from Jake Peavy, Javier Vazquez and Joba Chamberlain, the Mariners are not a good looking team. If Ryan Braun can successfully return from his ankle injury, the team should improve, but it won't be by that much. It's really hard to believe that these guys won the 2007 World Series.

Prediction: 4th Place, AL West


Texas Rangers

2008 Record: 87-75, 1st, AL West, Lost to Tampa Bay 3-0, ALDS

Key Additions: Carlos Guillen-1B, Carlos Ruiz-C

Key Losses: Lance Berkman-RF, Chone Figgins-3B, Richie Sexson-RF

Even with the loss of one of their bigger stars in Lance Berkman, the Texas Rangers still appear to be the class of the American League West. With a solid pitching staff, and good overall lineup, there's no reason to believe that Texas won't again lay claim to a division title.

The starting rotation is one of the more complete in the majors. Matt Cain and Mark Hendrickson provide the 1-2 punch at the top, while Jon Lieber is a decent third option. Meanwhile, Ervin Santana and Anthony Reyes are two young, up and coming pitchers with a lot of potential that could reach new heights this season. In the bullpen, strikeout artists Brad Lidge, Jose Garcia and George Sherrill attack opposing batters with wicked stuff. Sherrill is the closer for now, but if he slips, there's no way of knowing whether or not Lidge could move into that spot the very next night. Manny Corpas and Matt Smith are also decent setup men, giving the Rangers a solid bullpen from top to bottom.

On offense, team hitting is the name of the game, and team leader Yunel Escobar fits right into that idea. Escobar led the way last season with a .348 batting average to go along with 12 home runs, 119 RBI and 108 runs scored. Also working the plate with Escobar are Placido Polanco (.333, 14-89), Brian Giles (.305, 15-80) and newcomer Carlos Guillen (.286, 30-113). In fact, only one starter this season hit under .260 last year, and that's rookie Gonzalo Cruz. Jerr Cirillo continues to defy age at 39, while Jacque Jones, Rod Barajas and Brandon Fahey provide decent offense from their respective positions, leaving the Rangers well balanced across the board.

Prognosis: In a better division, the Rangers might be lucky to finish in second place. However, even without Berkman, the Rangers are still better than any other team in the AL West. With a complete lineup and well balanced pitching staff, there's no reason to believe that the Rangers wouldn't be back in the playoffs this season, and this time, they may even win a game or two.

Prediction: 1st Place, AL West

[Hurkman]

2009 National League Preview: East

The focus of the 2009 Major League Baseball preview now shifts to the National League, home of the defending World Champion Los Angeles Dodgers. First on the preview list is the NL East, where the Washington Nationals still appear to be the class of the division, but moves by the Mets and Phillies have put them in a position to challenge the Nats.

Atlanta Braves

2008 Record: 67-95, 4th, NL East

Key Additions: Radhames Liz-MR, Martin Prado-3B, Hee Seop Choi-1B

Key Losses: Marlon Byrd-RF, Scott Hairston-3B, Sean Casey-1B, Shannon Stewart-LF, Jason Bergmann-SP, Matt Smith-MR

You would think that a team with stars like Roy Halladay, Danny Haren, Ichiro Suzuki, Pat Burrell and Prince Fielder would be better than fourth in their own division, right? Well, if that team is the Atlanta Braves, the reason that they finished fourth last season is that those stars are pretty much the only good players that they have. Burdened by a smaller market, the Braves of 2009 are not the same team that won 11 World Series in their first 11 tries, as the Braves of the past have been. Instead, this team, while showing signs of improvement, is being handicapped by a lack of fan support that is driving the talent out, while forcing management to build from within.

Behind Halladay and Haren, the pitching staff is shaky at best. However, if those two pitch like they did last year, the cellar might not be out of the question for Atlanta. Halladay is looking to improve off a 11-15 season, while Haren went 11-12 last year. Neither had an ERA under 4.80, while Felix Diaz finished with a 3.34 ERA, best of the starting rotation...but he won only 4 games. Behind him, Jo-Jo Reyes and Brandon Claussen are questionable options, at best, while Manny Parra is the best thing going for Atlanta out of the bullpen.

The middle of the lineup is stacked, with the bats of Fielder and Burrell leading the way. Fielder is coming off a 44 home run, 132 RBI season that ended early when he fractured his skull on a pitched ball in early September. The Braves are hoping to have him back for the start of the season, but nothing is set in stone yet. Meanwhile, Burrell, who was brought over in a midseason trade with the Marlins last season, still has one of the best pair of eyes in the game, but needs to improve on a 16 home run, 60 RBI 2008 season. Ichiro Suzuki, even at age 35, provides an excellent leadoff bat, especially if he can hit .371 like he did last season. Aside from those three, catcher Chris Coste is the best bat in the lineup, and his 15 homers and 70 RBI were both third on the team last season.

Prognosis: If everything clicks right for the Braves this season, they could very well move into second place. However, they still have to get past the Mets and Phillies to do so, and that just doesn't seem very likely this season. The Braves could be good, but it's more wishful thinking than anything else.

Prediction: 4th Place, NL East


Florida Marlins

2008 Record: 65-97, 5th, NL West

Key Additions: Edwin Encarnacion-3B, Tony Graffanino-2B, Antonio Rocha-LF, Frank Castillo-MR, Dave Krynzel-CF, Geoff Blum-SS, B.J. Ryan-CL

Key Losses: Jose Cruz, Jr.-LF, Scott Hatteberg-1B, Joe Borowski-MR, James Hoey-MR, Jose Valverde-MR, Khalil Greene-SS

Somehow, the Florida Marlins went from a team that looked like they were on the brink of capturing their first World Series to a last place team in the span of just one season. The 89-73 National League East championship from 2007 is already a distant memory, replaced instead with the cold facts that the Marlins are getting old, fast, and it seems like there is very little that can be done about it.

The pitching staff is where the age bubble can be felt the most. Only two starters are under the age of 30, and none finished with a winning record. In fact, only Carl Pavano finished with the less than ten losses on the season. Ryan Madsen, Joel Pineiro and Jarrod Washburn each lost 13 games, while Jeremy Guthrie lost 16, but also finished second on the team in wins with 8. Florida did pick up B.J. Ryan to help with the back of the bullpen, but with Chad Bradford coming off a good season as the closer, it seems like the money spent to bring in Ryan could have been better spent somewhere else. The less said about the rest of the bullpen, the better.

Meanwhile, the Marlins are already trying to work past the age effects in their starting lineup, as only three starters are over age 30. However, those three players are all over the age of 35, and Kevin Millar and Jason Varitek are also the offensive leaders of the team as well. Millar finished 2008 with a team leading 20 home runs and 71 RBI, while Varitek added 17 homers and 86 RBI of his own. New additions Geoff Blum and Edwin Encarnaction bring more youth and skill to the lineup, while the return of Carl Crawford from a lengthy injury should help as well.

Prognosis: The Marlins shouldn't be half bad at the plate, but the problem isn't there; it's with the people pitching to the opposing teams. Even with younger players and veterans in the lineup, there's a limit to how many 10-9 games a team can play in. Without a solid arm in the starting rotation, there's no way the Marlins can compete this year, and it doesn't look good for the next few years, either.

Prediction: 5th Place, NL East


New York Mets

2008 Record: 75-87, 3rd, NL East

Key Additions: Chris Duffy-CF, Alex Rios-RF, Norris Hopper-CF, Juan Cruz-SP, Josh Towers-SP, Rich Aurilia-SS

Key Losses: B.J. Ryan-CL, Aramis Ramirez-3B, Bill Hall-CF, Chris Ray-MR, Eddy Diaz-2B

Two straight 75-87 seasons have Mets fans clamoring for change, and this offseason, the Mets made it happen, bringing in several big name free agents, including one of the best pitchers on the market. However, losses in their starting lineup might be too much to keep them from the top of what should be a crowded NL East race.

The main gripe with the Mets last season was their pitching, so New York went out and signed Josh Towers in the offseason. In Minnesota in 2008, Towers went 17-8 with a 3.13 ERA in 230 innings, while allowing opponents to hit just .242 against him. Then, they went out and signed strikeout artist Juan Cruz as well. Combined with Matt Garza, the Mets have two of the best strikeout pitchers in the National League now in their rotation. To go along with those three, New York also has Mike Pelfrey (11-11, 4.75 ERA) and Anibal Sanchez (10-5, 4.87 ERA). The bullpen has a major hole in it from the loss of B.J. Ryan, and pressure will be on Jason Stanford early and often. It will be interesting to see how the media reacts after he blows his first save.

New York brought in Alex Rios and Rich Aurilia to help supply the lineup with some pop, which is a good thing, considering they lost Aramis Ramirez and Bill Hall in the offseason. Their combined 256 RBI last season will be tough to replace, even for Rios and Aurilia. Aside from the new additions, Brad Wilkerson (.253, 28-89) provides a solid bat in the middle of the lineup, as does third baseman Brendan Ryan (.286, 17-81). The rest of the lineup, outside of Kevin Youkilis, is a bit weak, however.

Prognosis: Had the Mets been able to keep either Hall or Ramirez to go along with the signings they made, they could very well be the class of the NL East. However, with those two big bats both out of